Hu Xiao, Meng Qingchun, Guo Fajun, Xie Jun, Hasi Eerdun, Wang Hongmei, Zhao Yuzhi, Wang Li, Li Ping, Zhu Lin, Pu Qiongyao, Feng Xuguang
School of Natural Resources, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, China.
Exploration and Development Research Institute, PetroChina Huabei Oilfield Company, Renqiu, 062552, China.
Sci Rep. 2024 May 28;14(1):12179. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-63168-8.
Understanding water saturation levels in tight gas carbonate reservoirs is vital for optimizing hydrocarbon production and mitigating challenges such as reduced permeability due to water saturation (Sw) and pore throat blockages, given its critical role in managing capillary pressure in water drive mechanisms reservoirs. Traditional sediment characterization methods such as core analysis, are often costly, invasive, and lack comprehensive spatial information. In recent years, several classical machine learning models have been developed to address these shortcomings. Traditional machine learning methods utilized in reservoir characterization encounter various challenges, including the ability to capture intricate relationships, potential overfitting, and handling extensive, multi-dimensional datasets. Moreover, these methods often face difficulties in dealing with temporal dependencies and subtle patterns within geological formations, particularly evident in heterogeneous carbonate reservoirs. Consequently, despite technological advancements, enhancing the reliability, interpretability, and applicability of predictive models remains imperative for effectively characterizing tight gas carbonate reservoirs. This study employs a novel data-driven strategy to prediction of water saturation in tight gas reservoir powered by three recurrent neural network type deep/shallow learning algorithms-Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Support Vector Machine (SVM), K-nearest neighbor (KNN) and Decision tree (DT)-customized to accurately forecast sequential sedimentary structure data. These models, optimized using Adam's optimizer algorithm, demonstrated impressive performance in predicting water saturation levels using conventional petrophysical data. Particularly, the GRU model stood out, achieving remarkable accuracy (an R-squared value of 0.9973) with minimal errors (RMSE of 0.0198) compared to LSTM, RNN, SVM, KNN and, DT algorithms, thus showcasing its proficiency in processing extensive datasets and effectively identifying patterns. By achieving unprecedented accuracy levels, this study not only enhances the understanding of sediment properties and fluid saturation dynamics but also offers practical implications for reservoir management and hydrocarbon exploration in complex geological settings. These insights pave the way for more reliable and efficient decision-making processes, thereby advancing the forefront of reservoir engineering and petroleum geoscience.
了解致密气碳酸盐岩储层中的含水饱和度对于优化油气生产以及缓解诸如因含水饱和度(Sw)导致渗透率降低和孔隙喉道堵塞等挑战至关重要,因为其在水驱机制储层的毛管压力管理中起着关键作用。传统的沉积物表征方法,如岩心分析,通常成本高昂、具有侵入性且缺乏全面的空间信息。近年来,已开发出几种经典的机器学习模型来解决这些缺点。用于储层表征的传统机器学习方法面临各种挑战,包括捕捉复杂关系的能力、潜在的过拟合以及处理大量多维数据集。此外,这些方法在处理地质层中的时间依赖性和细微模式时往往面临困难,在非均质碳酸盐岩储层中尤为明显。因此,尽管技术有所进步,但提高预测模型的可靠性、可解释性和适用性对于有效表征致密气碳酸盐岩储层仍然至关重要。本研究采用一种新颖的数据驱动策略,通过三种递归神经网络类型的深度/浅层学习算法——门控循环单元(GRU)、递归神经网络(RNN)、长短期记忆网络(LSTM)、支持向量机(SVM)、K近邻(KNN)和决策树(DT)——来预测致密气储层中的含水饱和度,这些算法经过定制以准确预测连续的沉积结构数据。这些模型使用亚当优化器算法进行优化,在使用常规岩石物理数据预测含水饱和度水平方面表现出令人印象深刻的性能。特别是,GRU模型脱颖而出,与LSTM、RNN、SVM、KNN和DT算法相比,以最小的误差(均方根误差为0.0198)实现了显著的精度(决定系数值为0.9973),从而展示了其在处理大量数据集和有效识别模式方面的熟练程度。通过达到前所未有的精度水平,本研究不仅增强了对沉积物特性和流体饱和度动态的理解,还为复杂地质环境中的储层管理和油气勘探提供了实际意义。这些见解为更可靠、高效的决策过程铺平了道路,从而推动了储层工程和石油地球科学的前沿发展。