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通过模拟目标试验评估全身肝素在动静脉内瘘创建过程中的有效性。

Evaluating the effectiveness of systemic heparin during arteriovenous fistula creation by emulating a target trial.

作者信息

Heindel Patrick, Fitzgibbon James J, Secemsky Eric A, Belkin Michael, Ozaki C Keith, Hussain Mohamad A

机构信息

Department of Surgery, Division of Vascular and Endovascular Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA 02115, United States.

Center for Surgery and Public Health, Department of Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA 02115, United States.

出版信息

Am J Epidemiol. 2025 Mar 4;194(3):651-658. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwae098.

DOI:10.1093/aje/kwae098
PMID:38825327
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12166180/
Abstract

Most of the 800 000 people living with end-stage kidney disease in the United States rely on a functioning vascular access to provide life-sustaining hemodialysis, yet one-third of arteriovenous fistulas experience early failures. Determining the safety and effectiveness of systemic heparin during fistula creation could improve the quality and quantity of life for these vulnerable patients. In this article, a pragmatic randomized trial was emulated to assess the effect of systemic heparin administration (vs none) during radiocephalic arteriovenous fistula creation on early bleeding and thrombosis, using data from 2 international, multicenter, randomized trials performed between 2014 and 2019. Marginal risks were estimated using inverse probability weighted parametric survival analysis and CIs were generated with bootstrapping. A total of 914 patients were enrolled and 61% received systemic heparin; their median (IQR) age was 58 (49, 67) years and 45% were on hemodialysis at enrollment. No difference in the risk of bleeding events was observed, with a risk difference (95% CI) at 14 days of -0.1% (-1.6 to 1.4). The risk of access thrombosis was lower in the heparin group, with a risk of 3.7% (2.6-4.8) after heparin and 5.3% (3.4-7.4) without heparin at 14 days (risk ratio = 0.72; 95% CI, 0.50-0.98). Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov. Identifiers: NCT02110901 and NCT02414841.

摘要

美国80万终末期肾病患者中的大多数依靠正常运作的血管通路来进行维持生命的血液透析,然而三分之一的动静脉内瘘会出现早期失败。确定在造瘘过程中使用全身肝素的安全性和有效性,可改善这些脆弱患者的生活质量和寿命。在本文中,我们模拟了一项实用随机试验,利用2014年至2019年期间开展的2项国际多中心随机试验的数据,评估在桡动脉-头静脉内瘘造瘘过程中给予全身肝素(与不给予相比)对早期出血和血栓形成的影响。使用逆概率加权参数生存分析估计边际风险,并通过自抽样法生成置信区间。共纳入914例患者,61%接受了全身肝素治疗;他们的年龄中位数(四分位间距)为58(49,67)岁,45%在入组时正在接受血液透析。未观察到出血事件风险存在差异,14天时的风险差异(95%置信区间)为-0.1%(-1.6至1.4)。肝素组的通路血栓形成风险较低,14天时肝素治疗后的风险为3.7%(2.6 - 4.8),未使用肝素时为5.3%(3.4 - 7.4)(风险比 = 0.72;95%置信区间,0.50 - 0.98)。试验注册:ClinicalTrials.gov。标识符:NCT02110901和NCT02414841。

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Invited commentary: target trial emulation-a call for more widespread use.特邀评论:目标试验模拟——呼吁更广泛应用
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本文引用的文献

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Target Trial Emulation: A Framework for Causal Inference From Observational Data.目标试验模拟:一种从观察性数据进行因果推断的框架。
JAMA. 2022 Dec 27;328(24):2446-2447. doi: 10.1001/jama.2022.21383.
2
Central concepts for randomized controlled trials and other emerging trial designs.随机对照试验和其他新兴试验设计的核心概念。
Semin Vasc Surg. 2022 Dec;35(4):424-430. doi: 10.1053/j.semvascsurg.2022.10.004. Epub 2022 Oct 17.
3
Radiocephalic Arteriovenous Fistula Patency and Use: A Post Hoc Analysis of Multicenter Randomized Clinical Trials.桡动脉-头静脉内瘘的通畅性及使用情况:多中心随机临床试验的事后分析
Ann Surg Open. 2022 Aug 23;3(3):e199. doi: 10.1097/AS9.0000000000000199. eCollection 2022 Sep.
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Causal and Associational Language in Observational Health Research: A Systematic Evaluation.观察性健康研究中的因果和关联语言:系统评价。
Am J Epidemiol. 2022 Nov 19;191(12):2084-2097. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwac137.
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US Renal Data System 2021 Annual Data Report: Epidemiology of Kidney Disease in the United States.美国肾脏数据系统2021年年报:美国肾脏疾病流行病学
Am J Kidney Dis. 2022 Apr;79(4 Suppl 1):A8-A12. doi: 10.1053/j.ajkd.2022.02.001.
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PATENCY-2 trial of vonapanitase to promote radiocephalic fistula use for hemodialysis and secondary patency.vonapanitase 促进头静脉内瘘用于血液透析和二级通畅的 PATENCY-2 试验。
J Vasc Access. 2022 Mar;23(2):265-274. doi: 10.1177/1129729820985626. Epub 2021 Jan 22.
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KDOQI 2019 Vascular Access Guidelines: What Is New?KDIGO 2019 血管通路指南:有何新变化?
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8
KDOQI Clinical Practice Guideline for Vascular Access: 2019 Update.KDIGO 临床实践指南:血管通路 2019 更新版。
Am J Kidney Dis. 2020 Apr;75(4 Suppl 2):S1-S164. doi: 10.1053/j.ajkd.2019.12.001. Epub 2020 Mar 12.
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A causal framework for classical statistical estimands in failure-time settings with competing events.具有竞争事件的失效时间设置中经典统计估计量的因果框架。
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10
A randomized trial of vonapanitase (PATENCY-1) to promote radiocephalic fistula patency and use for hemodialysis.一项 vonapanitase(PATENCY-1)促进头静脉内瘘通畅性和用于血液透析的随机试验。
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