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雷暴天气和停电对与呼吸系统相关的急诊就诊的联合影响及其关系的调节和中介因素。

The Joint Effects of Thunderstorms and Power Outages on Respiratory-Related Emergency Visits and Modifying and Mediating Factors of This Relationship.

机构信息

Department of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York, USA.

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, New York, USA.

出版信息

Environ Health Perspect. 2024 Jun;132(6):67002. doi: 10.1289/EHP13237. Epub 2024 Jun 3.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

While limited studies have evaluated the health impacts of thunderstorms and power outages (POs) separately, few have assessed their joint effects. We aimed to investigate the individual and joint effects of both thunderstorms and POs on respiratory diseases, to identify disparities by demographics, and to examine the modifications and mediations by meteorological factors and air pollution.

METHODS

Distributed lag nonlinear models were used to examine exposures during three periods (i.e., days with both thunderstorms and POs, thunderstorms only, and POs only) in relation to emergency department visits for respiratory diseases (2005-2018) compared to controls (no thunderstorm/no PO) in New York State (NYS) while controlling for confounders. Interactions between thunderstorms and weather factors or air pollutants on health were assessed. The disparities by demographics and seasons and the mediative effects by particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter () and relative humidity (RH) were also evaluated.

RESULTS

Thunderstorms and POs were independently associated with total and six subtypes of respiratory diseases in NYS [highest risk ratio (RR) = 1.12; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.08, 1.17], but the impact was stronger when they co-occurred (highest RR = 1.44; 95% CI: 1.22, 1.70), especially during grass weed, ragweed, and tree pollen seasons. The stronger thunderstorm/PO joint effects were observed on chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases, bronchitis, and asthma (lasted 0-10 d) and were higher among residents who lived in rural areas, were uninsured, were of Hispanic ethnicity, were 6-17 or over 65 years old, and during spring and summer. The number of comorbidities was significantly higher by 0.299-0.782/case. Extreme cold/heat, high RH, , and ozone concentrations significantly modified the thunderstorm-health effect on both multiplicative and additive scales. Over 35% of the thunderstorm effects were mediated by and RH.

CONCLUSION

Thunderstorms accompanied by POs showed the strongest respiratory effects. There were large disparities in thunderstorm-health associations by demographics. Meteorological factors and air pollution levels modified and mediated the thunderstorm-health effects. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP13237.

摘要

背景

虽然已有一些研究分别评估了雷暴和停电对健康的影响,但很少有研究评估它们的联合影响。我们旨在调查雷暴和停电对呼吸疾病的单独和联合影响,确定人口统计学差异,并研究气象因素和空气污染的修饰和中介作用。

方法

使用分布式滞后非线性模型,在纽约州(NYS)中,比较了三个时期(即雷暴和停电同时发生、仅有雷暴和仅有停电)的暴露情况与对照组(无雷暴/无停电)之间的关系,同时控制了混杂因素。评估了雷暴与天气因素或空气污染物之间的相互作用对健康的影响。还评估了人口统计学差异和季节差异以及空气动力学直径()和相对湿度(RH)的中介作用。

结果

雷暴和停电在 NYS 中与总呼吸疾病和六种亚型的呼吸疾病独立相关[最高风险比(RR)=1.12;95%置信区间(CI):1.08,1.17],但当它们同时发生时影响更强(最高 RR = 1.44;95% CI:1.22,1.70),特别是在草杂草、豚草和树木花粉季节。在慢性阻塞性肺疾病、支气管炎和哮喘(持续 0-10 天)中观察到更强的雷暴/停电联合作用,在居住在农村地区、没有保险、西班牙裔、6-17 岁或 65 岁以上的居民中,以及在春季和夏季中,这种作用更强。每例病例的合并症数量增加了 0.299-0.782。极冷/热、高 RH、和臭氧浓度在倍增和加性尺度上显著改变了雷暴对健康的影响。雷暴效应的 35%以上由和 RH 介导。

结论

伴有停电的雷暴显示出最强的呼吸影响。雷暴与健康的关联存在较大的人口统计学差异。气象因素和空气污染水平修饰和介导了雷暴对健康的影响。https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP13237.

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/759e/11166412/653c7a463007/ehp13237_f1.jpg

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