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基于冠状病毒优化算法的新型组合方法对 COVID-19 的最优控制:以中国武汉为例。

A novel collocation method with a coronavirus optimization algorithm for the optimal control of COVID-19: A case study of Wuhan, China.

机构信息

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Gonbad Kavous University, P.O. Box, 49717-99151, Gonbad Kavous, Iran.

Department of Electrical Engineering, University of Bojnord, P.O. Box, 94531-1339, Bojnord, Iran.

出版信息

Comput Biol Med. 2024 Aug;178:108680. doi: 10.1016/j.compbiomed.2024.108680. Epub 2024 May 31.

Abstract

In this study, we develop a numerical optimization approach to address the challenge of optimal control in the spread of COVID-19. We evaluate the impact of various control strategies aimed at reducing the number of exposed and infectious individuals. Our novel approach employs Legendre wavelets, their derivative operational matrix, and a collocation method to transform the COVID-19 transmission optimal control model into a nonlinear programming (NLP) problem. To solve this problem, we employ a coronavirus optimization algorithm (COVIDOA) to determine the optimal control, state variables, and objective value. We investigate three control plans for this highly contagious disease, focusing on individual protection, rapid detection and treatment, detection with delay in treatment, and environmental viral dispersion as time-based control functions. These strategies are applied within an SEIR-type control model specific to COVID-19 in China, designed to mitigate disease spread. Lastly, we analyze the effects of various parameters within the COVID-19 spread model. Our numerical results highlight the significant impact of strategies that minimize the number of exposed and infectious individuals, particularly those related to rapid detection, detection delay, and environmental viral dispersion, in controlling and preventing the transmission of the COVID-19 virus.

摘要

在本研究中,我们开发了一种数值优化方法来解决 COVID-19 传播中的最优控制问题。我们评估了旨在减少暴露和感染个体数量的各种控制策略的影响。我们的新方法采用勒让德小波、它们的导数运算矩阵和配置方法,将 COVID-19 传播最优控制模型转化为非线性规划(NLP)问题。为了解决这个问题,我们采用冠状病毒优化算法(COVIDOA)来确定最优控制、状态变量和目标值。我们研究了针对这种高传染性疾病的三种控制方案,重点关注个体保护、快速检测和治疗、延迟治疗检测以及环境病毒扩散作为基于时间的控制函数。这些策略应用于针对中国 COVID-19 的 SEIR 型控制模型中,旨在减轻疾病传播。最后,我们分析了 COVID-19 传播模型中各种参数的影响。我们的数值结果强调了将暴露和感染个体数量最小化的策略的显著影响,特别是与快速检测、检测延迟和环境病毒扩散相关的策略,这些策略在控制和预防 COVID-19 病毒传播方面具有重要意义。

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