理论流行病学在中国亟需关注。
Theoretical Epidemiology Needs Urgent Attention in China.
作者信息
Wang Yao, Zhao Zeyu, Rui Jia, Chen Tianmu
机构信息
State Key Laboratory of Vaccines for Infectious Diseases, Xiang An Biomedicine Laboratory, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen City, Fujian Province, China.
出版信息
China CDC Wkly. 2024 May 24;6(21):499-502. doi: 10.46234/ccdcw2024.096.
The mathematical method to which theoretical epidemiology belongs is one of the three major methodologies in epidemiology. It is of great value in diagnosing infectious disease epidemic trends and evaluating the effectiveness of prevention and control measures. This paper aims to summarize the brief history of the development of theoretical epidemiology, common types of mathematical models, and key steps to develop a mathematical model. It also provides some thoughts and perspectives on the development and application of theoretical epidemiology in China.
理论流行病学所属的数学方法是流行病学的三大主要方法之一。它在诊断传染病流行趋势和评估防控措施效果方面具有重要价值。本文旨在总结理论流行病学发展的简要历史、常见的数学模型类型以及建立数学模型的关键步骤。同时，还对理论流行病学在中国的发展与应用提供了一些思考和观点。
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