Department of Mathematics, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, V6T 1Z2, Canada.
BMC Public Health. 2009 Nov 18;9 Suppl 1(Suppl 1):S2. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-9-S1-S2.
A brief description of the importance of communicable diseases in history and the development of mathematical modelling of disease transmission is given. This includes reasons for mathematical modelling, the history of mathematical modelling from the foundations laid in the late nineteenth century to the present, some of the accomplishments of mathematical modelling, and some challenges for the future. Our purpose is to demonstrate the importance of mathematical modelling for the understanding and management of infectious disease transmission.
简要描述了传染病在历史上的重要性以及疾病传播的数学建模的发展。这包括数学建模的原因、从 19 世纪末奠定基础到现在的数学建模历史、数学建模的一些成就,以及未来的一些挑战。我们的目的是展示数学建模对于理解和管理传染病传播的重要性。