de Melo Saulo Nascimento, Soeiro Barbosa David, Câmara Daniel Cardoso Portela, César Simões Taynãna, Buzanovsky Lia Puppim, Sousa Duarte Anna Gabryela, Maia-Elkhoury Ana Nilce Silveira, Cardoso Diogo Tavares, Edel Donato Lucas, Werneck Guilherme Loureiro, Bruhn Fábio Raphael Pascoti, Silva Belo Vinícius
Campus Centro-Oeste Dona Lindu, Universidade Federal de São João del-Rei, Divinópolis, MG, Brazil.
Departamento de Parasitologia, Instituto de Ciências Biológicas, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil.
Pathog Glob Health. 2024 Jul;118(5):418-428. doi: 10.1080/20477724.2024.2367442. Epub 2024 Jun 21.
Understanding the distribution of tegumentary leishmaniasis (TL) in different periods enables the adequate conduction of actions at the public health level. The present study analyzes the spatiotemporal evolution of TL incidence rates in the municipalities of Brazil and identifies priority areas from 2001 to 2020. Notifications of new cases were analyzed employing space-time scan statistics and Local Indicators of Spatial Association. As TL incidence rates presented a downward trend in most Brazilian municipalities, spatiotemporal clusters of high relative risks (RR) were more frequent in the first decade of the series. There was a concentration of those clusters in the North and Northeast regions, mainly in the Legal Amazon area. More recent high-RR areas were identified in municipalities of different regions. The number of priority municipalities showed a stable trend in Brazil. There was a great concentration of such municipalities in the states of Acre, Mato Grosso, Rondônia, Pará, and Amapá, as well as large areas in Roraima, Amazonas, Maranhão, and Tocantins, and smaller areas in the states of Goiás, Ceará, Bahia, Minas Gerais, São Paulo, and Paraná. The present study contributes to the understanding of the historical evolution of TL in Brazil and subsidizes actions to combat the disease.
了解皮肤利什曼病(TL)在不同时期的分布情况,有助于在公共卫生层面妥善开展相关行动。本研究分析了巴西各市TL发病率的时空演变,并确定了2001年至2020年的重点区域。采用时空扫描统计和空间关联局部指标对新病例通报进行了分析。由于巴西大多数城市的TL发病率呈下降趋势,在该系列的第一个十年中,高相对风险(RR)的时空聚集更为频繁。这些聚集主要集中在北部和东北部地区,主要是在合法亚马逊地区。在不同地区的城市中发现了更多近期的高RR地区。巴西重点城市的数量呈稳定趋势。这些城市高度集中在阿克里州、马托格罗索州、朗多尼亚州、帕拉州和阿马帕州,以及罗赖马州、亚马逊州、马拉尼昂州和托坎廷斯州的大片地区,以及戈亚斯州、塞阿拉州、巴伊亚州、米纳斯吉拉斯州、圣保罗州和巴拉那州的较小地区。本研究有助于了解巴西TL的历史演变,并为抗击该疾病的行动提供支持。