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索托拉西布作为中国和美国KRASG突变型非小细胞肺癌二线治疗的成本效益

Cost-effectiveness of sotorasib as a second-line treatment for non-small cell lung cancer with KRASG mutation in China and the United States.

作者信息

Zhu Ya-Ning, Tang Meng, Sun Ke-Xin, Gao Bei, Shi Xian-Peng, Zhang Peng

机构信息

Department of Pharmacy, Shaanxi Provincial People's Hospital, Xi'an, China.

Department of Pharmacy, Xijing Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China.

出版信息

Front Pharmacol. 2024 Jun 14;15:1348688. doi: 10.3389/fphar.2024.1348688. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

PURPOSE

To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of sotorasib versus docetaxel in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients with KRAS mutation from the China and United States'social perspective.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A Markov model that included three states (progression-free survival, post-progression survival, and death) was developed. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), quality-adjusted life-year (QALY), and incremental QALY were calculated for the two treatment strategies. One-way sensitivity analysis was used to investigate the factors that had a greater impact on the model results, and tornado diagrams were used to present the results. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis was performed with 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Assume distributions based on parameter types and randomly sample all parameter distributions each time., The results were presented as cost-effectiveness acceptable curves.

RESULTS

This economic evaluation of data from the CodeBreak 200 randomized clinical trial. In China, sotorasib generated 0.44 QAYL with a total cost of $84372.59. Compared with docetaxel, the ICER value of sotorasib was $102701.84/QALY, which was higher than willingness to pay (WTP), so sotorasib had no economic advantage. In the US, sotorasib obtained 0.35 QALY more than docetaxel, ICER was $15,976.50/QALY, which was more than 1 WTP but less than 3 WTP, indicating that the increased cost of sotorasib was acceptable. One-way sensitivity analysis showed that the probability of sotorasib having economic benefits gradually increased when the cost of follow-up examination was reduced in China. And there was no influence on the conclusions within the range of changes in China. When the willingness to pay (WTP) exceeds $102,500, the probability of sotorasib having cost effect increases from 0% to 49%.

CONCLUSION

Sotorasib had a cost effect from the perspective in the United States. However, sotorasib had no cost effect from the perspective in China, and only when the WTP exceeds $102,500, the probability of sotorasib having cost effect increases from 0% to 49%.

摘要

目的

从中国和美国社会角度评估索托拉西布与多西他赛治疗KRAS突变的非小细胞肺癌(NSCLC)患者的成本效益。

材料与方法

建立一个包含三个状态(无进展生存期、进展后生存期和死亡)的马尔可夫模型。计算两种治疗策略的增量成本效益比(ICER)、质量调整生命年(QALY)和增量QALY。采用单因素敏感性分析研究对模型结果影响较大的因素,并用龙卷风图展示结果。进行1000次蒙特卡洛模拟的概率敏感性分析。根据参数类型假设分布,每次对所有参数分布进行随机抽样。结果以成本效益可接受曲线表示。

结果

本经济评估数据来自CodeBreak 200随机临床试验。在中国,索托拉西布产生0.44个QAYL,总成本为84372.59美元。与多西他赛相比,索托拉西布的ICER值为102701.84美元/QALY,高于支付意愿(WTP),因此索托拉西布没有经济优势。在美国,索托拉西布比多西他赛多获得0.35个QALY,ICER为15976.50美元/QALY,大于1倍WTP但小于3倍WTP,表明索托拉西布增加的成本是可接受的。单因素敏感性分析表明,在中国,当随访检查成本降低时,索托拉西布具有经济效益的概率逐渐增加。在中国变化范围内对结论无影响。当支付意愿(WTP)超过102500美元时,索托拉西布具有成本效益的概率从0%增加到49%。

结论

从美国角度看,索托拉西布具有成本效益。然而,从中国角度看,索托拉西布没有成本效益,只有当WTP超过102500美元时,索托拉西布具有成本效益的概率从0%增加到49%。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1446/11211580/e389ff63a5d9/fphar-15-1348688-g001.jpg

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