文献检索文档翻译深度研究
Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件
邀请有礼套餐&价格历史记录

新学期,新优惠

限时优惠:9月1日-9月22日

30天高级会员仅需29元

1天体验卡首发特惠仅需5.99元

了解详情
不再提醒
插件&应用
Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件浏览器插件Mac 客户端Windows 客户端微信小程序
高级版
套餐订阅购买积分包
AI 工具
文献检索文档翻译深度研究
关于我们
关于 Suppr公司介绍联系我们用户协议隐私条款
关注我们

Suppr 超能文献

核心技术专利:CN118964589B侵权必究
粤ICP备2023148730 号-1Suppr @ 2025

食管癌手术吻合口漏的预测:一种整合影像与临床数据的多模态机器学习模型

Prediction of Anastomotic Leakage in Esophageal Cancer Surgery: A Multimodal Machine Learning Model Integrating Imaging and Clinical Data.

作者信息

Klontzas Michail E, Ri Motonari, Koltsakis Emmanouil, Stenqvist Erik, Kalarakis Georgios, Boström Erik, Kechagias Aristotelis, Schizas Dimitrios, Rouvelas Ioannis, Tzortzakakis Antonios

机构信息

Department for Clinical Science, Intervention and Technology (CLINTEC), Division of Radiology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden; Department of Medical Imaging, University Hospital of Heraklion, Crete, Greece; Computational BioMedicine Laboratory, Institute of Computer Science, Foundation for Research and Technology (FORTH), Heraklion, Crete, Greece; Department of Radiology, School of Medicine, University of Crete, Voutes Campus, Heraklion, Greece.

Department of Clinical Science, Intervention and Technology (CLINTEC), Division of Surgery and Oncology, Karolinska Institutet, Solna, Sweden; Department of Upper Abdominal Diseases, Karolinska University Hospital, Huddinge, Stockholm, Sweden.

出版信息

Acad Radiol. 2024 Dec;31(12):4878-4885. doi: 10.1016/j.acra.2024.06.026. Epub 2024 Jul 2.


DOI:10.1016/j.acra.2024.06.026
PMID:38955594
Abstract

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES: Surgery in combination with chemo/radiotherapy is the standard treatment for locally advanced esophageal cancer. Even after the introduction of minimally invasive techniques, esophagectomy carries significant morbidity and mortality. One of the most common and feared complications of esophagectomy is anastomotic leakage (AL). Our work aimed to develop a multimodal machine-learning model combining CT-derived and clinical data for predicting AL following esophagectomy for esophageal cancer. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A total of 471 patients were prospectively included (Jan 2010-Dec 2022). Preoperative computed tomography (CT) was used to evaluate celia trunk stenosis and vessel calcification. Clinical variables, including demographics, disease stage, operation details, postoperative CRP, and stage, were combined with CT data to build a model for AL prediction. Data was split into 80%:20% for training and testing, and an XGBoost model was developed with 10-fold cross-validation and early stopping. ROC curves and respective areas under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and F1-scores were calculated. RESULTS: A total of 117 patients (24.8%) exhibited post-operative AL. The XGboost model achieved an AUC of 79.2% (95%CI 69%-89.4%) with a specificity of 77.46%, a sensitivity of 65.22%, PPV of 48.39%, NPV of 87.3%, and F1-score of 56%. Shapley Additive exPlanation analysis showed the effect of individual variables on the result of the model. Decision curve analysis showed that the model was particularly beneficial for threshold probabilities between 15% and 48%. CONCLUSION: A clinically relevant multimodal model can predict AL, which is especially valuable in cases with low clinical probability of AL.

摘要

原理与目的:手术联合化疗/放疗是局部晚期食管癌的标准治疗方法。即使引入了微创技术,食管切除术仍具有显著的发病率和死亡率。食管切除术最常见且令人担忧的并发症之一是吻合口漏(AL)。我们的工作旨在开发一种结合CT衍生数据和临床数据的多模态机器学习模型,用于预测食管癌食管切除术后的AL。 材料与方法:前瞻性纳入471例患者(2010年1月至2022年12月)。术前计算机断层扫描(CT)用于评估腹腔干狭窄和血管钙化。将包括人口统计学、疾病分期、手术细节、术后CRP和分期等临床变量与CT数据相结合,构建AL预测模型。数据按80%:20%分为训练集和测试集,并采用10折交叉验证和早期停止策略开发XGBoost模型。计算ROC曲线及相应的曲线下面积(AUC)、敏感性、特异性、阳性预测值、阴性预测值和F1分数。 结果:共有117例患者(24.8%)出现术后AL。XGboost模型的AUC为79.2%(95%CI 69%-89.4%),特异性为77.46%,敏感性为65.22%,阳性预测值为48.39%,阴性预测值为87.3%,F1分数为56%。Shapley加法解释分析显示了个体变量对模型结果的影响。决策曲线分析表明,该模型在阈值概率为15%至48%之间时特别有益。 结论:一个具有临床相关性的多模态模型可以预测AL,这在AL临床概率较低的情况下尤其有价值。

相似文献

[1]
Prediction of Anastomotic Leakage in Esophageal Cancer Surgery: A Multimodal Machine Learning Model Integrating Imaging and Clinical Data.

Acad Radiol. 2024-12

[2]
Air Bubble Sign: A New Screening Method for Anastomotic Leakage After Esophagectomy for Esophageal Cancer.

Ann Surg Oncol. 2018-1-9

[3]
Diagnostic performance of a CT-based scoring system for diagnosis of anastomotic leakage after esophagectomy: comparison with subjective CT assessment.

Eur Radiol. 2017-3-29

[4]
Prognostic value of inflammatory markers for detecting anastomotic leakage after esophageal resection.

BMC Surg. 2020-12-9

[5]
Evaluation of preoperative risk factors and postoperative indicators for anastomotic leak of minimally invasive McKeown esophagectomy: a single-center retrospective analysis.

J Cardiothorac Surg. 2019-2-28

[6]
Evaluation of Anastomotic Leak after Esophagectomy for Esophageal Cancer: Typical Time Point of Occurrence, Mode of Diagnosis, Value of Routine Radiocontrast Agent Studies and Therapeutic Options.

Dig Surg. 2018

[7]
Diagnostic value of drain amylase for detecting intrathoracic leakage after esophagectomy.

World J Gastroenterol. 2015-8-14

[8]
A real-world study was conducted to develop a nomogram that predicts the occurrence of anastomotic leakage in patients with esophageal cancer following esophagectomy.

Aging (Albany NY). 2024-5-1

[9]
Predicting anastomotic leak in patients with esophageal squamous cell cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy using a nomogram based on CT radiomic and clinicopathologic factors.

BMC Cancer. 2025-3-15

[10]
Evaluation of the Usefulness of Contrast-Enhanced Computed Tomography for the Early Detection of Anastomotic Leakage After Esophagectomy.

J Comput Assist Tomogr.

引用本文的文献

[1]
Concurrent pathological scar: independent risk factor for esophageal stricture after endoscopic submucosal dissection.

Surg Endosc. 2025-5-8

[2]
Risk and management of adverse events in minimally invasive esophagectomy.

World J Gastrointest Surg. 2025-3-27

[3]
Current Role of Artificial Intelligence in the Management of Esophageal Cancer.

J Clin Med. 2025-3-9

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

推荐工具

医学文档翻译智能文献检索