Department of Radiotherapy, Jinhua People's Hospital, Jinhua, Zhejiang, China.
Department of Infectious Diseases, Affiliated Jinhua Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Jinhua, Zhejiang, China.
Sci Rep. 2024 Jul 2;14(1):15098. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-65657-2.
With the aging world population, the incidence of soft tissue sarcoma (STS) in the elderly gradually increases and the prognosis is poor. The primary goal of this research was to analyze the relevant risk factors affecting the postoperative overall survival in elderly STS patients and to provide some guidance and assistance in clinical treatment. The study included 2,353 elderly STS patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. To find independent predictive variables, we employed the Cox proportional risk regression model. R software was used to develop and validate the nomogram model to predict postoperative overall survival. The performance and practical value of the nomogram were evaluated using calibration curves, the area under the curve, and decision curve analysis. Age, tumor primary site, disease stage, tumor size, tumor grade, N stage, and marital status, are the risk variables of postoperative overall survival, and the prognostic model was constructed on this basis. In the two sets, both calibration curves and receiver operating characteristic curves showed that the nomogram had high predictive accuracy and discriminative power, while decision curve analysis demonstrated that the model had good clinical usefulness. A predictive nomogram was designed and tested to evaluate postoperative overall survival in elderly STS patients. The nomogram allows clinical practitioners to more accurately evaluate the prognosis of individual patients, facilitates the progress of individualized treatment, and provides clinical guidance.
随着世界人口老龄化,老年人软组织肉瘤(STS)的发病率逐渐增高,且预后较差。本研究的主要目的是分析影响老年 STS 患者术后总生存的相关风险因素,为临床治疗提供一定的指导和帮助。该研究纳入了来自监测、流行病学和最终结果(SEER)数据库的 2353 名老年 STS 患者。为了找到独立的预测变量,我们采用了 Cox 比例风险回归模型。使用 R 软件来开发和验证预测术后总生存的列线图模型。通过校准曲线、曲线下面积和决策曲线分析来评估列线图的性能和实际价值。年龄、肿瘤原发部位、疾病分期、肿瘤大小、肿瘤分级、N 分期和婚姻状况是术后总生存的风险变量,在此基础上构建了预后模型。在这两组中,校准曲线和受试者工作特征曲线都表明列线图具有较高的预测准确性和区分能力,而决策曲线分析表明该模型具有良好的临床实用性。设计并测试了一个预测列线图来评估老年 STS 患者的术后总生存。该列线图使临床医生能够更准确地评估个体患者的预后,有助于推进个体化治疗,并提供临床指导。