Ma Shixin, Li Fei, Wang Lunqing
Graduate School, Dalian Medical University, Dalian, Liaoning, 116000, People's Republic of China.
Department of Thoracic Surgery, Qingdao Municipal Hospital, Qingdao, Shandong, 266071, People's Republic of China.
Cancer Manag Res. 2024 Jul 2;16:741-751. doi: 10.2147/CMAR.S461964. eCollection 2024.
The purpose of this study was to investigate the predictive value of Pan-Immune-Inflammation Value (PIV) combined with the PILE score for immunotherapy in patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and to construct a nomogram prediction model to provide reference for clinical work.
Patients with advanced NSCLC who received ICIs treatment in Qingdao Municipal Hospital from January 2019 to December 2021 were selected as the study subjects. The chi-square test, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, and Cox proportional risk regression analysis were used to evaluate the prognosis. The results were visualized by a nomogram, and the performance of the model was judged by indicators such as the area under the subject operating characteristic curve (AUC) and C-index. The patients were divided into high- and low-risk groups by PILE score, and the prognosis of patients in different risk groups was evaluated.
Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that immune-related adverse events (irAEs) were prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) improvement, and ECOG PS score ≥2, bone metastases before treatment, and high PIV expression were independent risk factors for OS. The C index of OS predicted by the nomogram model is 0.750 (95% CI: 0.677-0.823), and the Calibration and ROC curves show that the model has good prediction performance. Compared with the low-risk group, patients in the high-risk group of PILE were associated with a higher inflammatory state and poorer physical condition, which often resulted in a poorer prognosis.
PIV can be used as a prognostic indicator for patients with advanced NSCLC treated with ICIs, and a nomogram prediction model can be constructed to evaluate the survival prediction of patients, thus contributing to better clinical decision-making and prognosis assessment.
本研究旨在探讨泛免疫炎症值(PIV)联合PILE评分对晚期非小细胞肺癌(NSCLC)患者免疫治疗的预测价值,并构建列线图预测模型,为临床工作提供参考。
选取2019年1月至2021年12月在青岛市市立医院接受免疫检查点抑制剂(ICIs)治疗的晚期NSCLC患者作为研究对象。采用卡方检验、Kaplan-Meier生存分析和Cox比例风险回归分析评估预后。结果通过列线图进行可视化展示,并通过受试者操作特征曲线(AUC)下面积和C指数等指标判断模型性能。根据PILE评分将患者分为高风险组和低风险组,评估不同风险组患者的预后。
多因素Cox回归分析显示,免疫相关不良事件(irAEs)是总生存期(OS)改善的预后因素,而ECOG PS评分≥2、治疗前骨转移和高PIV表达是OS的独立危险因素。列线图模型预测OS的C指数为0.750(95%CI:0.677-0.823),校准曲线和ROC曲线显示该模型具有良好的预测性能。与低风险组相比,PILE高风险组患者的炎症状态更高,身体状况更差,预后往往更差。
PIV可作为接受ICIs治疗的晚期NSCLC患者的预后指标,且可构建列线图预测模型评估患者的生存预测情况,从而有助于更好地进行临床决策和预后评估。