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100 年间瑞典的出生性别比与心血管疾病和全因死亡率风险——一项全国登记研究。

Sex ratio at birth across 100 years in Sweden and risk of cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality - a national register study.

机构信息

Department of Clinical Sciences Malmö, Lund University, Jan Waldenströms gata 15, floor 5, Malmö, Sweden.

Centre for Primary Health Care Research, Skane University Hospital, Malmö, S-20502, Sweden.

出版信息

Eur J Epidemiol. 2024 Sep;39(9):967-976. doi: 10.1007/s10654-024-01137-1. Epub 2024 Jul 15.

Abstract

The human sex ratio at birth (SRB) undergoes temporary changes around a mean proportion of 0.51 male births. SRB has been well studied for historical, geographical, and secular trends, but until now not linked to health outcomes in the total population, e.g. for cardiovascular disease (CVD) or mortality during follow-up of birth cohorts. We used linkage analysis based on national registers in Sweden that cover all births from 1900 to 2016. SRB at birth was calculated by every 10-year birth cohort in all survivors living in 1997 for a follow-up analysis of risk of CVD and mortality with data from national registers. When the highest quartile of SRB was used as reference, a slightly increased risk of fatal CVD (HR 1.03 (95% confidence intervals, CI): 1.02-1.04), non-fatal CVD (HR 1.01; 95%CI: 1.01-1.02) and mortality (HR 1.02; 95%CI, 1.01-1.03) was found after full adjustments in men belonging to the lowest SRB quartile. A similar pattern was also found for fatal CHD in women. in the lowest SBR quartile compared to the highest, HR 1.03 (95%CI: 1.02-1.05). In conclusion, in birth cohorts with a relatively lower than expected number of males born, long-term adverse health effects were observed with slightly increased cardiovascular risk and total mortality at the population level. This could indicate that men belonging to so-called "culled cohorts" in a developed country during the 20th century are characterized by a slightly increased risk that could reflect negative early life influences and environmental exposures in pregnant women resulting in selective loss of male embryos or fetuses. In a public health perspective SRB could be of some importance to monitor as an aspect of birth statistics linked to relatively minor population health effects.

摘要

人类出生性别比(SRB)在 0.51 左右的男性出生比例周围经历暂时变化。SRB 已经在历史、地理和时间趋势方面进行了很好的研究,但直到现在还没有与总人口的健康结果相关联,例如心血管疾病(CVD)或出生队列随访期间的死亡率。我们使用基于瑞典国家登记册的连锁分析,这些登记册涵盖了 1900 年至 2016 年的所有出生记录。在 1997 年所有存活的幸存者中,按每 10 年出生队列计算出生时的 SRB,以便对 CVD 和死亡率风险进行随访分析,数据来自国家登记册。当最高四分位的 SRB 用作参考时,出生时 SRB 最低四分位的男性发生致命 CVD(HR 1.03(95%置信区间,CI):1.02-1.04)、非致命 CVD(HR 1.01;95%CI:1.01-1.02)和死亡率(HR 1.02;95%CI,1.01-1.03)的风险略有增加。在女性中也发现了类似的致命 CHD 模式。在最低 SBR 四分位数中,HR 1.03(95%CI:1.02-1.05)。总之,在出生队列中,出生的男性数量相对较少,观察到长期不良健康影响,心血管风险略增加,人群水平总死亡率略增加。这可能表明,在 20 世纪发达国家的所谓“淘汰队列”中出生的男性,其风险略高,这可能反映出孕妇早期生活影响和环境暴露的负面因素,导致男性胚胎或胎儿选择性丧失。从公共卫生的角度来看,SRB 可以作为与人口健康影响相对较小的出生统计的一个方面进行监测。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5122/11470864/c4e8551fad4e/10654_2024_1137_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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