Wonju Severance Christian Hospital, Republic of Korea.
Wonju College of Medicine, Yonsei University, Republic of Korea.
Int J Med Sci. 2024 Jul 1;21(9):1730-1737. doi: 10.7150/ijms.97400. eCollection 2024.
This study aimed to assess the predictive accuracy of 30-day mortality with delta neutrophil index (DNI) in adult cardiac surgical patients. This study enrolled patients who underwent cardiac surgery under general anesthesia between March 2016 and May 2022 at a tertiary hospital in the Republic of Korea. DNI was measured preoperatively, on postoperative arrival to the surgical intensive care unit (ICU), and 12, 24, 48, and 72 h postoperatively. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was employed to identify the prediction accuracy of DNI. An area under ROC curve (AUROC) ≥0.700 was defined as satisfactory predictive accuracy. An optimal cutoff point for the DNI value to maximize predictive accuracy was revealed in the ROC curve, where [sensitivity + specificity] was maximum. This study included a total of 843 patients in the final analyses. The mean age of the study population was 66.9±12.2 years and 38.4% of them were female patients. The overall 30-day mortality rate was 5.2%. Surgery involving the thoracic aorta, history of prior cardiac surgery, or emergency surgery were associated with a higher mortality rate. The DNI showed satisfactory predictive accuracy at 24 h, 48 h, and 72 h postoperatively, with AUROC of 0.729, 0.711, and 0.755, respectively. The optimal cutoff points of DNI at each time point were 3.2, 3.8, and 2.3, respectively. Postoperative DNI is a good predictor of 30-day mortality after cardiac surgery and has the benefit of no additional financial costs or time.
本研究旨在评估中性粒细胞 delta 指数(DNI)预测成人心脏外科患者 30 天死亡率的准确性。该研究纳入了 2016 年 3 月至 2022 年 5 月期间在韩国一家三级医院接受全身麻醉下心脏手术的患者。DNI 术前、术后到达外科重症监护病房(ICU)时以及术后 12、24、48 和 72 小时进行测量。采用接收者操作特征(ROC)分析评估 DNI 的预测准确性。ROC 曲线下面积(AUROC)≥0.700 定义为预测准确性满意。ROC 曲线中揭示了 DNI 值的最佳截断点,以最大化预测准确性,其中 [灵敏度+特异性] 最大。本研究最终分析共纳入 843 例患者。研究人群的平均年龄为 66.9±12.2 岁,其中 38.4%为女性患者。总的 30 天死亡率为 5.2%。涉及胸主动脉的手术、既往心脏手术史或急诊手术与更高的死亡率相关。DNI 在术后 24、48 和 72 小时显示出满意的预测准确性,AUROC 分别为 0.729、0.711 和 0.755。各时间点 DNI 的最佳截断点分别为 3.2、3.8 和 2.3。术后 DNI 是心脏手术后 30 天死亡率的良好预测指标,并且具有无额外经济成本或时间的优势。