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城市流动、洪水泛滥和污水水力过程的综合建模,以支持城市排水系统的弹性评估。

Integrated modeling of urban mobility, flood inundation, and sewer hydrodynamics processes to support resilience assessment of urban drainage systems.

机构信息

School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 10084, China.

School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 10084, China; Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control State Key Joint Laboratory, School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China E-mail:

出版信息

Water Sci Technol. 2024 Jul;90(1):124-141. doi: 10.2166/wst.2024.212. Epub 2024 Jun 25.

Abstract

With the increasing frequency of extreme weather events and a deepening understanding of disasters, resilience has received widespread attention in urban drainage systems. The studies on the resilience assessment of urban drainage systems are mostly indirect assessments that did not simulate human behavior affected by rainfall or semi-quantitative assessments that did not build simulation models, but few research characterizes the processes between people and infrastructure to assess resilience directly. Our study developed a dynamic model that integrates urban mobility, flood inundation, and sewer hydrodynamics processes. The model can simulate the impact of rainfall on people's mobility behavior and the full process including runoff generation, runoff entering pipes, node overflow, flood migration, urban mobility, and residential water usage. Then, we assessed the resilience of the urban drainage system under rainfall events from the perspectives of property loss and urban mobility. The study found that the average percentage increase in commuting time under different return periods of rainfall ranged from 6.4 to 203.9%. Calculating the annual expectation of property loss and traffic obstruction, the study found that the annual expectation loss in urban mobility is 9.1% of the annual expectation of property loss if the rainfall is near the morning commuting peak.

摘要

随着极端天气事件的频繁发生和对灾害认识的深入,韧性在城市排水系统中受到了广泛关注。城市排水系统韧性评估的研究大多是间接评估,没有模拟降雨影响下的人类行为,或者是没有建立模拟模型的半定量评估,而很少有研究从直接评估的角度刻画人和基础设施之间的相互作用过程。我们的研究开发了一个集成城市机动性、洪水淹没和污水水力过程的动态模型。该模型可以模拟降雨对人们机动性行为的影响,以及包括径流产生、径流进入管道、节点溢出、洪水迁移、城市机动性和住宅用水在内的整个过程。然后,我们从财产损失和城市机动性的角度评估了降雨事件下城市排水系统的韧性。研究发现,在不同重现期降雨下通勤时间的平均百分比增加范围在 6.4%到 203.9%之间。计算财产损失和交通堵塞的年期望,可以发现如果降雨接近早高峰通勤时间,城市机动性的年期望损失将占财产损失年期望的 9.1%。

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