Emergency Department, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, National Clinical Research Center for Child Health and Disorders, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Child Development and Disorders, Intensive Care Unit, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Chongqing Key Laboratory of Infection and Immunity in Rare Pediatric Diseases, Chongqing, China.
PLoS One. 2024 Jul 19;19(7):e0306172. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0306172. eCollection 2024.
We aimed to validate the performance of six available scoring models for predicting hospital mortality in children with suspected or confirmed infections.
This single-center retrospective cohort study included pediatric patients admitted to the PICU for infection. The primary outcome was hospital mortality. The six scores included the age-adapted pSOFA score, SIRS score, PELOD2 score, Sepsis-2 score, qSOFA score, and PMODS.
Of the 5,356 children admitted to the PICU, 9.1% (488) died, and 25.1% (1,342) had basic disease with a mortality rate of 12.7% (171); 65.3% (3,499) of the patients were younger than 2 years, and 59.4% (3,183) were male. The discrimination abilities of the pSOFA and PELOD2 scores were superior to those of the other models. The calibration curves of the pSOFA and PELOD2 scores were consistent between the predictions and observations. Elevated lactate levels were a risk factor for mortality.
The pSOFA and PELOD2 scores had superior predictive performance for mortality. Given the relative unavailability of items and clinical operability, the pSOFA score should be recommended as an optimal tool for acute organ dysfunction in pediatric sepsis patients. Elevated lactate levels are related to a greater risk of death from infection in children in the PICU.
我们旨在验证六种现有评分模型在预测疑似或确诊感染儿童住院死亡率方面的性能。
这项单中心回顾性队列研究纳入了因感染而入住 PICU 的儿科患者。主要结局为住院死亡率。这六种评分包括年龄调整后 SOFA 评分、SIRS 评分、PELOD2 评分、Sepsis-2 评分、qSOFA 评分和 PMODS。
在入住 PICU 的 5356 名儿童中,9.1%(488 人)死亡,25.1%(1342 人)患有基础疾病,死亡率为 12.7%(171 人);65.3%(3499 人)的患者年龄小于 2 岁,59.4%(3183 人)为男性。pSOFA 和 PELOD2 评分的鉴别能力优于其他模型。pSOFA 和 PELOD2 评分的校准曲线在预测和观察之间一致。乳酸水平升高是死亡的危险因素。
pSOFA 和 PELOD2 评分对死亡率具有较好的预测性能。鉴于项目相对不可用和临床操作性,pSOFA 评分应被推荐为儿科脓毒症患者急性器官功能障碍的最佳工具。乳酸水平升高与 PICU 中感染儿童死亡风险增加相关。