Koper Christopher S, Lu Yi-Fang, Dong Beidi
Department of Criminology, Law, and Society, George Mason University, Fairfax, Virginia, USA
Department of Criminology, Law, and Society, George Mason University, Fairfax, Virginia, USA.
Inj Prev. 2024 Jul 22. doi: 10.1136/ip-2024-045257.
There has been extensive debate in the USA as to how laws regulating the carrying of concealed firearms affect crime and public safety. This study examines whether US state laws making it easier for civilians to obtain permits to carry concealed handguns in public increase defensive gun uses against violent threats and attacks in public.
We used National Crime Victimization Survey data from 39 metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) in the USA over a 19-year period (1986-2004) to examine whether laws making it easier for civilians to obtain concealed carry permits are linked to higher levels of defensive gun use against violence in public spaces of metropolitan areas. Bivariate χ tests and multivariate logistic regression models (controlling for actor and situational characteristics) were used with 7196 public incidents to examine whether the likelihood of the victim using a gun against an attacker(s) varied based on the type of concealed carry law in the MSA at the time of the incident.
The prevalence of self-defensive gun use in this sample was not clearly related to the passage of permissive gun carrying laws. Although defensive gun use was more common in MSAs with permissive gun carrying laws, this difference was not consistently related in magnitude or statistical significance to the passage of those laws or the length of time they had been in effect.
Permissive concealed carry permit laws do not produce evident increases in self-defensive gun uses against crime in public locations.
在美国,关于管控隐蔽携带枪支的法律如何影响犯罪和公共安全一直存在广泛争论。本研究考察美国各州让平民更容易获得在公共场所隐蔽携带手枪许可的法律,是否会增加针对公共场所暴力威胁和袭击的自卫性用枪情况。
我们使用了美国39个大都市统计区在19年期间(1986 - 2004年)的全国犯罪受害情况调查数据,以考察让平民更容易获得隐蔽携带许可的法律,是否与大都市地区公共场所针对暴力的更高水平自卫性用枪有关。使用双变量χ检验和多变量逻辑回归模型(控制行为者和情境特征),对7196起公共事件进行分析,以考察受害者对袭击者使用枪支的可能性是否因事件发生时大都市统计区隐蔽携带法律的类型而异。
该样本中自卫性用枪的普遍程度与宽松枪支携带法律的通过没有明显关联。虽然在实行宽松枪支携带法律的大都市统计区,自卫性用枪更为常见,但这种差异在幅度或统计显著性上与这些法律的通过或其生效时间长短并无一致关联。
宽松的隐蔽携带许可法律不会使公共场所针对犯罪的自卫性用枪明显增加。