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新冠病毒病儿童及青少年入住重症监护病房相关因素分析:多级模型的应用

Analysis of factors associated with admission to the intensive care unit of children and adolescents with COVID-19: application of a multilevel model.

作者信息

Damascena Lecidamia Cristina Leite, Faria Aline Roseane Queiroz de Paiva, Lucena Nyellisonn Nando Nóbrega de, Silva Ana Hermínia Andrade E, Almeida Talita Tavares Alves de, Pinto Diana de Fátima Alves, Coêlho Hemílio Fernandes Campos, Valença Ana Maria Gondim

机构信息

Postgraduate Program in Decision Models and Health, Centro de Ciências Exatas e da Natureza, Universidade Federal da Paraíba - João Pessoa (PB), Brazil.

Secretaria de Saúde do Estado da Paraíba - João Pessoa (PB), Brazil.

出版信息

Crit Care Sci. 2024 Jul 19;36:e20240068en. doi: 10.62675/2965-2774.20240068-en. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To identify factors associated with hospitalization in the intensive care unit in children and adolescents with COVID-19.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study using secondary data of hospitalized children and adolescents (zero to 18 years old) with COVID-19 reported in Paraíba from April 2020 to July 2021, totaling 486 records. Descriptive analysis, logistic regression and multilevel regression were performed, utilizing a significance level of 5%.

RESULTS

According to logistic regression without hierarchical levels, there was an increased chance of admission to the intensive care unit for male patients (OR = 1.98; 95%CI 1.18 - 3.32), patients with respiratory distress (OR = 2.43; 95%CI 1.29 - 4.56), patients with dyspnea (OR = 3.57; 95%CI 1.77 - 7.18) and patients living in large cities (OR = 2.70; 95%CI 1.07 - 6.77). The likelihood of requiring intensive care was observed to decrease with increasing age (OR = 0.94; 95%CI = 0.90 - 0.97), the presence of cough (OR = 0.32; 95%CI 0.18 - 0.59) or fever (OR = 0.42; 95%CI 0.23 - 0.74) and increasing Gini index (OR = 0.003; 95%CI 0.000 - 0.243). According to the multilevel analysis, the odds of admission to the intensive care unit increased in male patients (OR = 1.70; 95%CI = 1.68-1.71) and with increasing population size of the municipality per 100,000 inhabitants (OR = 1.01; 95%CI 1.01-1.03); additionally, the odds of admission to the intensive care unit decreased for mixed-race versus non-brown-skinned patients (OR = 0.981; 95%CI 0.97 - 0.99) and increasing Gini index (OR = 0.02; 95%CI 0.02 - 0.02).

CONCLUSION

The effects of patient characteristics and social context on the need for intensive care in children and adolescents with SARS-CoV-2 infection were better estimated with the inclusion of a multilevel regression model.

摘要

目的

确定与新型冠状病毒肺炎(COVID-19)儿童和青少年入住重症监护病房相关的因素。

方法

这是一项回顾性队列研究,使用了2020年4月至2021年7月在帕拉伊巴州报告的确诊COVID-19的住院儿童和青少年(0至18岁)的二手数据,共计486条记录。进行了描述性分析、逻辑回归和多水平回归,显著性水平设定为5%。

结果

根据非分层的逻辑回归分析,男性患者(OR = 1.98;95%CI 1.18 - 3.32)、有呼吸窘迫的患者(OR = 2.43;95%CI 1.29 - 4.56)、有呼吸困难的患者(OR = 3.57;95%CI 1.77 - 7.18)以及居住在大城市的患者(OR = 2.70;95%CI 1.07 - 6.77)入住重症监护病房的几率增加。随着年龄增长(OR = 0.94;95%CI = 0.90 - 0.97)、出现咳嗽(OR = 0.32;95%CI 0.18 - 0.59)或发烧(OR = 0.42;95%CI 0.23 - 0.74)以及基尼指数增加(OR = 0.003;95%CI 0.000 - 0.243),需要重症监护的可能性降低。根据多水平分析,男性患者(OR = 1.70;95%CI = 1.68 - 1.71)以及每10万居民中城市人口规模增加(OR = 1.01;95%CI 1.01 - 1.03)时,入住重症监护病房的几率增加;此外,与非棕色皮肤患者相比,混血患者入住重症监护病房的几率降低(OR = 0.981;95%CI 0.97 - 0.99),且随着基尼指数增加(OR = 0.02;95%CI 0.02 - 0.02)几率降低。

结论

纳入多水平回归模型能更好地评估患者特征和社会背景对SARS-CoV-2感染儿童和青少年重症监护需求的影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/74d6/11239204/3006239e1055/2965-2774-ccsci-36-e20240068en-gf01.jpg

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