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中国化石燃料 CO 排放的时空变化:基于多源数据的部门分配方法。

Spatiotemporal variations of fossil fuel CO emissions in China: A sectoral allocation approach based on multi-source data.

机构信息

College of Geography and Environmental Science, Northwest Normal University, Lanzhou, 730070, China.

College of Geography and Environmental Science, Northwest Normal University, Lanzhou, 730070, China.

出版信息

Environ Pollut. 2024 Nov 1;360:124589. doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2024.124589. Epub 2024 Jul 25.

DOI:10.1016/j.envpol.2024.124589
PMID:39059701
Abstract

Fossil fuel (FF) CO emissions account for the largest portion of human-related CO emissions. It is essential to accurately understand the spatial distribution of high-resolution FFCO emissions to formulate different carbon emission reduction policies in different regions. Therefore, a sectoral allocation approach was proposed to estimate FFCO emissions in China from 2000 to 2021 based on multi-source data. Furthermore, the spatiotemporal characteristics of FFCO emissions in different sectors were analyzed at different scales, and the spatial correlation of FFCO emissions in the service sector and industrial sector was also evaluated through Moran's index. The results showed that the mean R value of the sectoral allocation approach (0.89) exceeds that of the approach using only nighttime light (0.72). Moreover, the calculated results were utilized to analyze the Spatiotemporal variation of FFCO emissions. The analysis revealed that China's FFCO emissions increased from 3173 Mt in 2000-10662 Mt in 2021. The high emissions of FFCO mainly come from the industrial sectors in North China and Central China, as well as the service sectors in the eastern coastal cities and other provincial capital cities. The spatial dependence of FFCO emissions in the industrial sector was stronger than that in the service sector, but the spatial dependence of FFCO emissions in the service sector showed an increasing trend from 2000 to 2021. These results have important references and implications for region-specific carbon emission reduction policies.

摘要

化石燃料(FF)CO 排放占人为 CO 排放的最大部分。准确了解高分辨率 FFCO 排放的空间分布,对于在不同地区制定不同的碳减排政策至关重要。因此,本文提出了一种部门分配方法,基于多源数据估算了 2000 年至 2021 年中国 FFCO 的排放量。此外,还分析了不同部门 FFCO 排放的时空特征,并通过 Moran 指数评估了服务业和工业部门 FFCO 排放的空间相关性。结果表明,部门分配方法的平均 R 值(0.89)高于仅使用夜间灯光的方法(0.72)。此外,还利用计算结果分析了 FFCO 排放的时空变化。分析表明,中国的 FFCO 排放量从 2000-10662 年的 3173 Mt 增加到 2021 年的 3173 Mt。FFCO 的高排放量主要来自华北和华中的工业部门,以及东部沿海城市和其他省会城市的服务业。工业部门 FFCO 排放的空间依赖性强于服务业,但服务业 FFCO 排放的空间依赖性从 2000 年到 2021 年呈上升趋势。这些结果对特定区域的碳减排政策具有重要的参考和启示意义。

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