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原发性肝癌全身麻醉后苏醒期躁动的影响因素及风险预测模型

Influencing factors and risk prediction model for emergence agitation after general anesthesia for primary liver cancer.

作者信息

Song Shu-Shu, Lin Li, Li Li, Han Xiao-Dong

机构信息

Department of Anesthesia and Surgery, Wenzhou Central Hospital, Wenzhou 325099, Zhejiang Province, China.

出版信息

World J Gastrointest Surg. 2024 Jul 27;16(7):2194-2201. doi: 10.4240/wjgs.v16.i7.2194.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

General anesthesia is commonly used in the surgical management of gastrointestinal tumors; however, it can lead to emergence agitation (EA). EA is a common complication associated with general anesthesia, often characterized by behaviors, such as crying, struggling, and involuntary limb movements in patients. If treatment is delayed, there is a risk of incision cracking and bleeding, which can significantly affect surgical outcomes. Therefore, having a proper understanding of the factors influencing the occurrence of EA and implementing early preventive measures may reduce the incidence of agitation during the recovery phase from general anesthesia, which is beneficial for improving patient prognosis.

AIM

To analyze influencing factors and develop a risk prediction model for EA occurrence following general anesthesia for primary liver cancer.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of clinical data from 200 patients who underwent hepatoma resection under general anesthesia at Wenzhou Central Hospital (January 2020 to December 2023) was conducted. Post-surgery, the Richmond Agitation-Sedation Scale was used to evaluate EA presence, noting EA incidence after general anesthesia. Patients were categorized by EA presence postoperatively, and the influencing factors were analyzed using logistic regression. A nomogram-based risk prediction model was constructed and evaluated for differentiation and fit using receiver operating characteristics and calibration curves.

RESULTS

EA occurred in 51 (25.5%) patients. Multivariate analysis identified advanced age, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) grade III, indwelling catheter use, and postoperative pain as risk factors for EA ( < 0.05). Conversely, postoperative analgesia was a protective factor against EA ( < 0.05). The area under the curve of the nomogram was 0.972 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.947-0.997] for the training set and 0.979 (95%CI: 0.951-1.000) for the test set. Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed a good fit ( = 5.483, = 0.705), and calibration curves showed agreement between predicted and actual EA incidence.

CONCLUSION

Age, ASA grade, catheter use, postoperative pain, and analgesia significantly influence EA occurrence. A nomogram constructed using these factors demonstrates strong predictive accuracy.

摘要

背景

全身麻醉常用于胃肠道肿瘤的手术治疗;然而,它可能导致苏醒期躁动(EA)。EA是全身麻醉相关的常见并发症,通常表现为患者哭闹、挣扎和肢体不自主运动等行为。若治疗延迟,存在切口裂开和出血的风险,这会显著影响手术结局。因此,正确认识影响EA发生的因素并实施早期预防措施,可能会降低全身麻醉苏醒期躁动的发生率,这有利于改善患者预后。

目的

分析原发性肝癌全身麻醉后EA发生的影响因素并建立风险预测模型。

方法

回顾性分析2020年1月至2023年12月在温州中心医院接受全身麻醉下肝癌切除术的200例患者的临床资料。术后,使用Richmond躁动镇静量表评估EA情况,记录全身麻醉后的EA发生率。根据术后是否发生EA对患者进行分类,并采用逻辑回归分析影响因素。构建基于列线图的风险预测模型,并使用受试者工作特征曲线和校准曲线评估其区分度和拟合度。

结果

51例(25.5%)患者发生EA。多因素分析确定高龄、美国麻醉医师协会(ASA)Ⅲ级、使用留置导管和术后疼痛是EA的危险因素(<0.05)。相反,术后镇痛是预防EA的保护因素(<0.05)。列线图在训练集的曲线下面积为0.972 [95%置信区间(CI):0.947 - 0.997],在测试集为0.979(95%CI:0.951 - 1.000)。Hosmer-Lemeshow检验显示拟合良好(= 5.483,= 0.705),校准曲线显示预测的和实际的EA发生率之间具有一致性。

结论

年龄、ASA分级、导管使用、术后疼痛和镇痛显著影响EA的发生。使用这些因素构建的列线图显示出较强的预测准确性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2e8f/11287673/d4c9fead0fdd/WJGS-16-2194-g001.jpg

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