State Key Laboratory of Environmental Criteria and Risk Assessment, Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing 100012, China.
Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences Environmental Technology & Engineering Co. Ltd., Beijing, 100012, China.
J Environ Sci (China). 2025 Feb;148:650-664. doi: 10.1016/j.jes.2023.04.027. Epub 2023 May 6.
China is the most important steel producer in the world, and its steel industry is one of the most carbon-intensive industries in China. Consequently, research on carbon emissions from the steel industry is crucial for China to achieve carbon neutrality and meet its sustainable global development goals. We constructed a carbon dioxide (CO) emission model for China's iron and steel industry from a life cycle perspective, conducted an empirical analysis based on data from 2019, and calculated the CO emissions of the industry throughout its life cycle. Key emission reduction factors were identified using sensitivity analysis. The results demonstrated that the CO emission intensity of the steel industry was 2.33 ton CO/ton, and the production and manufacturing stages were the main sources of CO emissions, accounting for 89.84% of the total steel life-cycle emissions. Notably, fossil fuel combustion had the highest sensitivity to steel CO emissions, with a sensitivity coefficient of 0.68, reducing the amount of fossil fuel combustion by 20% and carbon emissions by 13.60%. The sensitivities of power structure optimization and scrap consumption were similar, while that of the transportation structure adjustment was the lowest, with a sensitivity coefficient of less than 0.1. Given the current strategic goals of peak carbon and carbon neutrality, it is in the best interest of the Chinese government to actively promote energy-saving and low-carbon technologies, increase the ratio of scrap steel to steelmaking, and build a new power system.
中国是世界上最重要的钢铁生产国,其钢铁工业也是中国碳排放量最大的产业之一。因此,研究钢铁行业的碳排放对于中国实现碳中和目标和实现可持续的全球发展目标至关重要。我们从生命周期的角度构建了一个中国钢铁工业的二氧化碳(CO)排放模型,基于 2019 年的数据进行了实证分析,并计算了该行业整个生命周期的 CO 排放量。通过敏感性分析确定了关键的减排因素。结果表明,钢铁行业的 CO 排放强度为 2.33 吨 CO/吨,生产和制造阶段是 CO 排放的主要来源,占钢铁全生命周期排放的 89.84%。值得注意的是,化石燃料燃烧对钢铁 CO 排放的敏感性最高,敏感性系数为 0.68,减少 20%的化石燃料燃烧量可减少 13.60%的 CO 排放。电力结构优化和废钢消耗的敏感性相似,而运输结构调整的敏感性最低,敏感性系数小于 0.1。鉴于目前的碳达峰和碳中和战略目标,中国政府积极推广节能低碳技术、提高废钢炼钢比、构建新型电力系统,符合其最佳利益。