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“哪些因素影响了居住在曾经发生过洪灾的社区的居民对其受保护程度的感受,或者影响了他们对未来可能发生的洪灾的恢复能力?一项调查的结果”。

"What influences how well householders living in previously flooded communities feel they are protected or could recover from future flooding?: Results of a survey".

机构信息

Hull York Medical School, University of Hull, Hull, United Kingdom.

Institute of Clinical and Applied Health Research, University of Hull, Hull, United Kingdom.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2024 Aug 7;19(8):e0306593. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0306593. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

In England, the Environment Agency (EA) estimates that over 3 million properties in England are at risk of surface water flooding. Heavy and prolonged rainfall that drives surface water flooding is projected to increase in the future due to climate change. This paper presents a quantitative secondary analysis of a cross-sectional household flood survey in a disadvantaged city in England heavily impacted by surface water flooding in 2007 and at severe risk of flooding in the future. The aim of this study was to examine how previous experience of flooding, demographic factors, and behaviours impact on feelings of protection against flooding and perceived ability to recover from flooding. Survey data were collected from residents in Hull in northern England in 2018, in areas impacted by major floods in 2007 when over 8,600 households were flooded. Valid responses were received from 453 households, of whom 37.3% were flooded or flooding damaged their house (n = 169), 14.6% had been disrupted by flooding (n = 66), 9.3% had been exposed to flooding (n = 42) and 176 (38.9%) had not experienced flooding. Over 22% felt they had very low protection against flooding, and over 25% would make a very slow recovery if they were flooded. Associations were found between gender and both low levels of protection against flooding. Females were less likely to feel confident in their recovery from flooding than males (OR 0.551). The findings support a need to focus on women's perceptions of flood vulnerability and capacity to cope and recover from flooding in flood and disaster management policy and practice, including providing effective support before, during and after flooding.

摘要

在英格兰,环境署(EA)估计英格兰有超过 300 万处房产面临地表水洪水的威胁。由于气候变化,未来推动地表水洪水的大雨和长时间降雨预计将会增加。本文对英格兰一个受地表水洪水严重影响的贫困城市的家庭洪水横断面调查进行了定量二次分析,该城市未来面临严重的洪水风险。本研究的目的是检查以前的洪水经历、人口统计因素和行为如何影响对洪水的保护感以及从洪水中恢复的能力。2018 年,在英格兰北部的赫尔市收集了居民的调查数据,这些居民所在地区在 2007 年遭遇了重大洪水,当时超过 8600 户家庭被洪水淹没。在收到的 453 户有效回复中,有 37.3%的家庭被洪水淹没或洪水损坏了他们的房屋(n=169),14.6%的家庭受到了洪水的干扰(n=66),9.3%的家庭暴露在洪水中(n=42),176 户(38.9%)没有经历过洪水。超过 22%的人表示他们的洪水保护措施非常低,而且如果他们被洪水淹没,恢复速度会非常缓慢。在保护措施不足方面,发现性别与保护措施不足和恢复能力不足之间存在关联。与男性相比,女性对从洪水中恢复的信心较低(OR0.551)。这些发现支持在洪水和灾害管理政策和实践中关注女性对洪水脆弱性的认知以及应对和从洪水中恢复的能力,包括在洪水发生之前、期间和之后提供有效的支持。

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