Energy and Green Economics Unit, Graha Primera Saintifika, Aceh Besar, 23371, Indonesia.
Department of Economics, Sheikh Fazilatunnesa Mujib University, Jamalpur, 2000, Bangladesh; Department of Economics, Comilla University, Cumilla, 3506 Bangladesh.
J Environ Manage. 2024 Sep;368:122077. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122077. Epub 2024 Aug 9.
Climate change resulting from increasing emissions has become a pressing concern in North African countries due to its significant environmental and socio-economic impacts. There is a need for extensive research on this topic to raise global awareness of the associated dangers. This study investigates the dynamic impact of economic growth, military expenditure, globalization, renewable energy, manufacturing, tourism, capital formation, and labor on CO emissions in North African countries from 1995 to 2021. The long-term results of the ARDL model reveal that globalization, renewable energy and capital formation have a negative impact on CO emissions, whereas economic growth, manufacturing, and tourism exhibit a positive impact. Pairwise Granger causality evidence indicates unidirectional causality from economic growth, globalization, military expenditure, manufacturing, tourism, and capital formation to CO emissions. These findings provide policymakers with critical insights to shape evidence-based interventions that promote renewable energy investments and globalization, enhance capital formation and high-skilled labor, and implement regulations to mitigate the environmental impacts of economic growth, military expenditure, manufacturing, and tourism. This guidance will help the region transition to a more environmentally friendly economic system.
由于排放导致的气候变化已经成为北非国家的一个紧迫问题,因为其对环境和社会经济造成了重大影响。需要对此进行广泛的研究,以提高全球对相关危险的认识。本研究考察了 1995 年至 2021 年期间经济增长、军费支出、全球化、可再生能源、制造业、旅游业、资本形成和劳动力对北非国家 CO 排放的动态影响。ARDL 模型的长期结果表明,全球化、可再生能源和资本形成对 CO 排放有负面影响,而经济增长、制造业和旅游业则有正面影响。成对格兰杰因果关系的证据表明,经济增长、全球化、军费支出、制造业、旅游业和资本形成对 CO 排放存在单向因果关系。这些发现为政策制定者提供了重要的见解,以制定基于证据的干预措施,促进可再生能源投资和全球化,加强资本形成和高技能劳动力,并实施法规来减轻经济增长、军费支出、制造业和旅游业对环境的影响。这将有助于该地区向更环保的经济体系转型。