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评估延长太阳能光伏组件使用寿命的环境效益。

Assessing the Environmental Benefits of Extending the Service Lifetime of Solar Photovoltaic Modules.

作者信息

Paç Ahmed Burak, Gok Abdulkerim

机构信息

Department of Industrial Engineering Gebze Technical University Kocaeli 41400 Turkey.

Department of Materials Science and Engineering Gebze Technical University Kocaeli 41400 Turkey.

出版信息

Glob Chall. 2024 Jul 16;8(8):2300245. doi: 10.1002/gch2.202300245. eCollection 2024 Aug.

Abstract

Requiring no fuel for generation and negligible material/energy for operation and maintenance, photovoltaic (PV) systems have environmental impacts mostly due to the production of modules and the commissioning of power plants. Thus, extending the service lifetime of these systems from 30 to 40 years through an enhanced lamination process for module production potentially reduces environmental impacts per unit energy generated. Life cycle assessment is employed to evaluate the environmental impacts under scenarios for resource utilizations for the new lamination process, operation and maintenance requirements in the extended service lifetime, and degradation rates of the devised modules. Extending the service lifetime significantly reduces environmental impacts across categories, with a 21-27% reduction in global warming potential on the pessimistic and optimistic ends. At least 20% impact reduction is achieved in most impact categories, even under a pessimistic scenario. Considering uncertainty models in the life cycle inventories, samples are generated for scenarios via Monte Carlo simulation, and with significant improvements with large effects in most environmental impact categories, deterministic impact comparisons are supported by ANOVA and Tukey tests. Production strategies for more durable and reliable PV modules have a significant potential in contributing to global sustainability efforts.

摘要

光伏(PV)系统发电无需燃料,运行和维护所需的材料/能源可忽略不计,其对环境的影响主要源于组件生产和发电厂的调试。因此,通过改进组件生产的层压工艺将这些系统的使用寿命从30年延长至40年,有可能降低单位发电量的环境影响。采用生命周期评估来评估新层压工艺的资源利用、延长使用寿命期间的运行和维护要求以及设计组件的降解率等情景下的环境影响。延长使用寿命可显著降低各类环境影响,在悲观和乐观情况下,全球变暖潜能值分别降低21% - 27%。即使在悲观情景下,大多数影响类别也至少实现了20%的影响降低。考虑到生命周期清单中的不确定性模型,通过蒙特卡罗模拟为情景生成样本,并且在大多数环境影响类别中都有显著改善且效果显著,方差分析(ANOVA)和Tukey检验支持确定性影响比较。生产更耐用、可靠的光伏组件的策略在推动全球可持续发展努力方面具有巨大潜力。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/13b5/11316246/5ff647fb75f1/GCH2-8-2300245-g002.jpg

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