Direct inference of the distribution of fitness effects of spontaneous mutations from recombinant inbred Caenorhabditis elegans mutation accumulation lines.

The distribution of fitness effects of new mutations plays a central role in evolutionary biology. Estimates of the distribution of fitness effect from experimental mutation accumulation lines are compromised by the complete linkage disequilibrium between mutations in different lines. To reduce the linkage disequilibrium, we constructed 2 sets of recombinant inbred lines from a cross of 2 Caenorhabditis elegans mutation accumulation lines. One set of lines ("RIAILs") was intercrossed for 10 generations prior to 10 generations of selfing; the second set of lines ("RILs") omitted the intercrossing. Residual linkage disequilibrium in the RIAILs is much less than in the RILs, which affects the inferred distribution of fitness effect when the sets of lines are analyzed separately. The best-fit model estimated from all lines (RIAILs + RILs) infers a large fraction of mutations with positive effects (∼40%); models that constrain mutations to have negative effects fit much worse. The conclusion is the same using only the RILs. For the RIAILs, however, models that constrain mutations to have negative effects fit nearly as well as models that allow positive effects. When mutations in high linkage disequilibrium are pooled into haplotypes, the inferred distribution of fitness effect becomes increasingly negative-skewed and leptokurtic. We conclude that the conventional wisdom-most mutations have effects near 0, a handful of mutations have effects that are substantially negative, and mutations with positive effects are very rare-is likely correct, and that unless it can be shown otherwise, estimates of the distribution of fitness effect that infer a substantial fraction of mutations with positive effects are likely confounded by linkage disequilibrium.