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经济增长目标对绿色发展水平的影响——基于官员晋升激励与环境规制视角。

The impact of economic growth targets on the level of green development-A perspective on officials' promotion incentives and environmental regulations.

机构信息

Research Institute of Economics and Management, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, Chengdu, 611100, China.

Management Institute, Beijing Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China.

出版信息

J Environ Manage. 2024 Sep;368:122056. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122056. Epub 2024 Aug 13.

DOI:10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122056
PMID:39142098
Abstract

Currently, China is at a critical stage of accelerating the green transformation of its economic development model, with considerable attention being paid to achieving this transformation while maintaining moderate economic growth. This study uses 271 prefecture-level cities in China from 2006 to 2020 to examine the impact of local government economic growth target constraints on the level of green economic development and to elucidate the underlying mechanisms. The results show that economic growth targets significantly inhibit the level of urban green development, with this effect being more pronounced in the economically developed eastern regions of China. Hard constraints on economic growth targets have a greater inhibitory effect on green development than soft constraints. The greater the promotion pressure on local officials, the stronger the inhibitory effect of economic growth target constraints on green development. The test of the mediation effect model reveals that economic growth targets can inhibit green development by affecting the degree of regional marketization, leading to mismatches in the capital and labor markets. Moreover, environmental regulations can mitigate the inhibitory effect of economic growth targets on green development levels. The conclusions of this study provide useful insights for local governments to optimize economic development target constraint mechanisms and accelerate high-quality green economic development.

摘要

当前,中国正处于加快经济发展模式绿色转型的关键阶段,在实现转型的同时保持适度经济增长受到高度关注。本研究使用 2006 年至 2020 年中国 271 个地级市的数据,检验了地方政府经济增长目标约束对城市绿色经济发展水平的影响,并阐明了其中的作用机制。结果表明,经济增长目标显著抑制了城市绿色发展水平,这种影响在中国经济发达的东部地区更为明显。经济增长目标的硬约束对绿色发展的抑制作用大于软约束。地方官员的晋升压力越大,经济增长目标约束对绿色发展的抑制作用就越强。中介效应模型的检验结果表明,经济增长目标可以通过影响区域市场化程度来抑制绿色发展,导致资本和劳动力市场的错配。此外,环境规制可以减轻经济增长目标对绿色发展水平的抑制作用。本研究的结论为地方政府优化经济发展目标约束机制、加快高质量绿色经济发展提供了有益的启示。

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