Massonini Ngoma Railh Gugus Tresor, Wang Xiangqian, Meng Xiang Rui, Abraham Mahanga Tsoni Cety Gessica, Danwana Sumaiya Bashiru, Ndombi Benjamine Tsoni
School of Economics and Management, Anhui University of Science and Technology, No. 168 Taifeng Road, Huainan, 232001, China.
School of Humanities and Social Science, Anhui University of Science and Technology, No. 168 Taifeng Road, Huainan, 232001, China.
Heliyon. 2024 Jul 9;10(15):e34256. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e34256. eCollection 2024 Aug 15.
This study explores the relationship between economic growth (GDP), biomass energy consumption (BEC), Rule of Law, and Government Effectiveness on climate change (CO2 emissions) in the Republic of Congo from 1990 to 2020. We employed a nonlinear autoregressive distributed Lag (NARDL) model to analyse data from World Bank databases. Higher GDP leads to lower CO2 emissions in the long run. Increased BEC also reduces emissions, but a decrease can have a small negative impact. Interestingly, a stronger Rule of Law and Government Effectiveness is associated with higher CO2 emissions in the short run, potentially due to relaxed environmental regulations. However, a stronger Rule of Law and Government Effectiveness leads to lower emissions in the long run, suggesting a potential shift towards sustainable practices. These findings provide valuable insights for policymakers aiming to achieve economic growth and climate stability in the Republic of Congo.
本研究探讨了1990年至2020年期间刚果共和国经济增长（国内生产总值）、生物质能源消费（BEC）、法治和政府效能与气候变化（二氧化碳排放）之间的关系。我们采用非线性自回归分布滞后（NARDL）模型分析了世界银行数据库中的数据。从长期来看，较高的国内生产总值会导致较低的二氧化碳排放。生物质能源消费增加也会减少排放，但减少则可能产生较小的负面影响。有趣的是，短期内更强的法治和政府效能与更高的二氧化碳排放相关，这可能是由于环境法规的放松。然而，从长期来看，更强的法治和政府效能会导致排放降低，这表明可能正在转向可持续做法。这些发现为旨在实现刚果共和国经济增长和气候稳定的政策制定者提供了宝贵的见解。
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