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海平面上升对国家铁路基础设施的风险评估:意大利沿海铁路方法框架的应用。

Risk assessment of national railway infrastructure due to sea-level rise: an application of a methodological framework in Italian coastal railways.

机构信息

Regional Model and Geo-Hydrological Impacts (REMHI) Division, Euro-Mediterranean Center for Climate Change, 81100, Caserta, Italy.

Parthenope University of Naples, 80133, Naples, Italy.

出版信息

Environ Monit Assess. 2024 Aug 19;196(9):822. doi: 10.1007/s10661-024-12942-2.

DOI:10.1007/s10661-024-12942-2
PMID:39158731
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11333504/
Abstract

Nowadays, within the built environment, railway infrastructures play a key role to sustain national policies oriented toward promoting sustainable mobility. For this reason, national institutions and infrastructure managers need to increase their awareness in relation to the current and future climate risks on their representative systems. Among climate change impacts, preventing the effects of sea-level rise (SLR) on coastal railway infrastructures is a priority. The first step in the climate change adaptation policy cycle is the development of an ad hoc climate risk assessment. In this view, this research develops a vulnerability and a risk assessment metric to identify the hotspots within a national coastal railway due to the SLR impacts. The proposed methodology required different steps to quantify the SLR projections and the vulnerability characteristics of the assets, in terms of sensitivity and adaptive capacity. The investigated case study is the coastal railway infrastructure in Italy, thanks to an initial approach of co-design participative processes with the national Infrastructure Manager: Rete Ferroviaria Italiana (RFI). The results of this application, although not included in the paper due to confidential reasons imposed by the infrastructure manager - led to a clear identification of the areas and the coastal railway sections which are exposed to high levels of risks and of the places which require priority actions for urgent adaptation in a view of climate proof infrastructures.

摘要

如今,在建筑环境中,铁路基础设施对于支持国家推动可持续交通的政策起着关键作用。出于这个原因,国家机构和基础设施管理者需要提高他们对代表性系统当前和未来气候风险的认识。在气候变化的影响中,防止海平面上升(SLR)对沿海铁路基础设施的影响是当务之急。气候变化适应政策周期的第一步是进行专门的气候风险评估。有鉴于此,本研究开发了一种脆弱性和风险评估指标,以确定由于 SLR 影响而导致的国家沿海铁路的热点地区。所提出的方法需要不同的步骤来量化 SLR 预测以及资产的脆弱性特征,具体而言是敏感性和适应能力。所研究的案例研究是意大利的沿海铁路基础设施,这得益于与国家基础设施管理者 Rete Ferroviaria Italiana(RFI)合作进行的初步共同设计参与性过程。由于基础设施管理者规定的保密原因,该应用的结果(由于基础设施管理者规定的保密原因,该结果未包含在本文中)导致明确确定了易受高风险影响的地区和沿海铁路路段,以及需要采取紧急适应行动的地方,以实现具有抗气候能力的基础设施。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3c51/11333504/b31ecc4656be/10661_2024_12942_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3c51/11333504/03f9016b874f/10661_2024_12942_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3c51/11333504/1e25817fd185/10661_2024_12942_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3c51/11333504/35ca9cbaaa39/10661_2024_12942_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3c51/11333504/08eba4418657/10661_2024_12942_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3c51/11333504/b31ecc4656be/10661_2024_12942_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3c51/11333504/03f9016b874f/10661_2024_12942_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3c51/11333504/1e25817fd185/10661_2024_12942_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3c51/11333504/35ca9cbaaa39/10661_2024_12942_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3c51/11333504/08eba4418657/10661_2024_12942_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3c51/11333504/b31ecc4656be/10661_2024_12942_Fig5_HTML.jpg

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