Department of Ultrasound, Affiliated Hospital of Zunyi Medical University, Guizhou, China.
Department of Neurology II, Affiliated Hospital of Shandong Second Medical University, Shandong, China.
Ultrason Imaging. 2024 Nov;46(6):320-331. doi: 10.1177/01617346241271184. Epub 2024 Aug 20.
To explore the predictive value of the nomogram model based on multimodal ultrasound features for benign and malignant thyroid nodules of C-TIRADS category 4. A retrospective analysis was conducted on the general conditions and ultrasound features of patients who underwent thyroid ultrasound examination and fine needle aspiration biopsy (FNA) or thyroidectomy at the Affiliated Hospital of Zunyi Medical University from April 2020 to April 2023. Predictive signs for benign and malignant nodules of thyroid C-TIRADS category 4 were screened through LASSO regression and multivariate logistic regression analysis to construct a nomogram prediction model. The predictive efficiency and accuracy of the model were assessed through ROC curves and calibration curves. Seven independent risk factors in the predictive model for benign and malignant thyroid nodules of C-TIRADS category 4 were growth pattern, morphology, microcalcifications, SR, arterial phase enhancement intensity, initial perfusion time, and PE [%]. Based on these features, the area under the curve (AUC) of the constructed prediction model was 0.971 (p < .001, 95% CI: 0.952-0.989), with a prediction accuracy of 93.1%. Internal validation showed that the nomogram calibration curve was consistent with reality, and the decision curve analysis indicated that the model has high clinical application value. The nomogram prediction model constructed based on the multimodal ultrasound features of thyroid nodules of C-TIRADS category 4 has high clinical application value.
探讨基于多模态超声特征的列线图模型对 C-TIRADS 4 类甲状腺良恶性结节的预测价值。对 2020 年 4 月至 2023 年 4 月在遵义医科大学附属医院行甲状腺超声检查及细针抽吸活检(FNA)或甲状腺切除术的患者的一般情况及超声特征进行回顾性分析。通过 LASSO 回归和多因素 logistic 回归分析筛选出 C-TIRADS 4 类甲状腺良恶性结节的预测指标,构建列线图预测模型。通过 ROC 曲线和校准曲线评估模型的预测效率和准确性。基于生长模式、形态、微钙化、SR、动脉期增强强度、初始灌注时间和 PE [%],构建了 C-TIRADS 4 类甲状腺良恶性结节的预测模型中的 7 个独立危险因素。构建的预测模型曲线下面积(AUC)为 0.971(p < 0.001,95%CI:0.952-0.989),预测准确率为 93.1%。内部验证显示,列线图校准曲线与实际情况一致,决策曲线分析表明该模型具有较高的临床应用价值。基于 C-TIRADS 4 类甲状腺结节多模态超声特征构建的列线图预测模型具有较高的临床应用价值。