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为老年胃癌患者开发改良教科书结局:一项多中心研究。

Developing a modified textbook outcome for elderly patients with gastric cancer: a multi-center study.

机构信息

Department of Gastric Surgery, Fujian Medical University Union Hospital, Fuzhou, China.

Department of General Surgery, Fujian Medical University Union Hospital, No. 29 Xinquan Road, Fuzhou, 350001, Fujian Province, China.

出版信息

Surg Endosc. 2024 Oct;38(10):5869-5880. doi: 10.1007/s00464-024-11116-y. Epub 2024 Aug 20.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Textbook outcome (TO) is widely recognized as a comprehensive prognostic indication for patients with gastric cancer (GC). This study aims to develop a modified TO (mTO) for elderly patients with GC.

METHODS

Data from the elderly patients (aged ≥ 65 years) in two Chinese tertiary referral hospitals were analyzed. 1389 patients from Fujian Medical University Union Hospital were assigned as the training cohort and 185 patients from Affiliated Hospital of Putian University as the validation cohort. Nomogram was developed by the independent prognostic factors of Overall Survival (OS) based on Cox regression.

RESULTS

In the training cohort, laparoscopic surgery was significantly correlated with higher TO rate (P < 0.05). Cox regression analysis revealed that surgical approach was also an independent factor of OS (P < 0.001), distinct from the traditional TO. In light of these findings, TO parameters were enhanced by the inclusion of surgical approach, rendering a modified TO (mTO). Further analysis showed that mTO, tumor size, pTNM staging, and adjuvant chemotherapy were independent prognostic factors associated with OS (all P < 0.05). Additionally, the nomogram incorporating these four indicators accurately predicted 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS in the training cohort, with AUC values of 0.793, 0.814, and 0.807, respectively, and exhibited outstanding predictive performance within the validation cohort.

CONCLUSION

mTO holds a robust association with the prognosis of elderly patients with GC, meriting intensified attention in efforts aimed at enhancing surgical quality. Furthermore, the predictive model incorporating mTO demonstrates excellent predictive performance for elderly patients with GC.

摘要

目的

教科书结局(TO)被广泛认为是胃癌(GC)患者的综合预后指标。本研究旨在为老年 GC 患者建立改良的 TO(mTO)。

方法

分析了来自中国两家三级转诊医院的老年患者(年龄≥65 岁)的数据。来自福建医科大学附属协和医院的 1389 名患者被分配为训练队列,来自莆田学院附属医院的 185 名患者被分配为验证队列。基于 Cox 回归的总生存(OS)独立预后因素,采用列线图建立模型。

结果

在训练队列中,腹腔镜手术与更高的 TO 率显著相关(P<0.05)。Cox 回归分析显示,手术方式也是 OS 的独立因素(P<0.001),与传统的 TO 不同。鉴于这些发现,通过纳入手术方式,对 TO 参数进行了改进,形成了改良的 TO(mTO)。进一步分析表明,mTO、肿瘤大小、pTNM 分期和辅助化疗是与 OS 相关的独立预后因素(均 P<0.05)。此外,包含这四个指标的列线图在训练队列中准确预测了 1、3 和 5 年 OS,AUC 值分别为 0.793、0.814 和 0.807,在验证队列中表现出出色的预测性能。

结论

mTO 与老年 GC 患者的预后密切相关,值得加强关注,以提高手术质量。此外,包含 mTO 的预测模型对老年 GC 患者具有出色的预测性能。

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