Onyelowe Kennedy C, Moghal Arif Ali Baig, Ahmad Furquan, Rehman Ateekh Ur, Hanandeh Shadi
Department of Civil Engineering, Michael Okpara University of Agriculture, Umudike, Nigeria.
Department of Civil Engineering, University of the Peloponnese, 26334, Patras, Greece.
Sci Rep. 2024 Aug 22;14(1):19562. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-70634-w.
In this work, intelligent numerical models for the prediction of debris flow susceptibility using slope stability failure factor of safety (FOS) machine learning predictions have been developed. These machine learning techniques were trained using novel metaheuristic methods. The application of these training mechanisms was necessitated by the need to enhance the robustness and performance of the three main machine learning methods. It was necessary to develop intelligent models for the prediction of the FOS of debris flow down a slope with measured geometry due to the sophisticated equipment required for regular field studies on slopes prone to debris flow and the associated high project budgets and contingencies. With the development of smart models, the design and monitoring of the behavior of the slopes can be achieved at a reduced cost and time. Furthermore, multiple performance evaluation indices were utilized to ensure the model's accuracy was maintained. The adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system, combined with the particle swarm optimization algorithm, outperformed other techniques. It achieved an FOS of debris flow down a slope performance of over 85%, consistently surpassing other methods.
在这项工作中,已经开发出了利用边坡稳定性安全系数(FOS)机器学习预测来预测泥石流易发性的智能数值模型。这些机器学习技术使用新颖的元启发式方法进行训练。由于需要提高三种主要机器学习方法的鲁棒性和性能,因此有必要应用这些训练机制。由于对易发生泥石流的斜坡进行常规野外研究需要复杂的设备以及相关的高额项目预算和意外情况,所以有必要开发智能模型来预测具有实测几何形状的斜坡上泥石流的FOS。随着智能模型的开发,可以以降低的成本和时间实现斜坡行为的设计和监测。此外,还使用了多个性能评估指标来确保模型的准确性。自适应神经模糊推理系统与粒子群优化算法相结合,表现优于其他技术。它实现了斜坡上泥石流FOS性能超过85%,始终超过其他方法。