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模拟安全因素对施工延误的影响:以阿富汗为例。

Modelling the impacts of security on construction delays: A case of Afghanistan.

作者信息

Ahmadzai Mohammad Basheer, Ye Kunhui

机构信息

School of Management Science and Real Estate, Chongqing University, 83# Shabei Street, Shapingba District, Chongqing 400045, China.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2024 Jun 8;10(12):e32662. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e32662. eCollection 2024 Jun 30.

DOI:10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e32662
PMID:39183854
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11341339/
Abstract

Construction projects in conflict-affected regions face unique challenges, with security issues often serving as significant impediments to progress. This research investigates the multifaceted relationship between security factors and construction delays in Afghanistan, aiming to fill a critical gap in existing literature by offering a comprehensive analysis of the specific challenges encountered within this context. Employing a quantitative methodology and engaging stakeholders directly involved in construction projects, the study delves into the intricacies of security-related delay factors, identifying key contributors and assessing their impacts on project timelines. Through quantitative data analysis, the research reveals that security-related issues such as the presence of local armed individuals, interference from tribal leaders, and other forms of insecurity pose significant threats to construction projects in Afghanistan. These factors are found to have both high severity and frequency, underscoring their pervasive influence on project outcomes. Furthermore, the study highlights the interconnected nature of delay factors, emphasizing the need for a holistic approach to project management that integrates security considerations into broader risk management frameworks. Stakeholder perspectives play a central role in the research, with insights gathered from clients, consultants, contractors, and other key actors providing valuable insights into the diverse range of concerns within the construction industry. Variations in risk perceptions and priorities among different stakeholder groups underscore the importance of tailored interventions that account for the specific needs and challenges faced by each group. Building on these insights, the research offers recommendations for enhancing project resilience and mitigating the impacts of security-related delays in Afghanistan. Recommendations include the development and implementation of robust security protocols, proactive risk management strategies, and improved coordination with local authorities and security forces. Moreover, the study identifies avenues for further research, including comparative analyses across different regions and longitudinal studies tracking project outcomes over time. By deepening our understanding of the impacts of security on construction delays, this research contributes to the development of evidence-based policies and practices aimed at promoting sustainable development in conflict-affected regions and beyond.

摘要

受冲突影响地区的建设项目面临着独特的挑战,安全问题常常成为项目进展的重大障碍。本研究调查了阿富汗安全因素与建设项目延误之间的多方面关系,旨在通过全面分析这一背景下遇到的具体挑战,填补现有文献中的关键空白。该研究采用定量方法,并直接与参与建设项目的利益相关者进行互动,深入探究与安全相关的延误因素的复杂性,确定关键因素并评估其对项目工期的影响。通过定量数据分析,研究表明,诸如当地武装人员的存在、部落首领的干预以及其他形式的不安全因素等与安全相关的问题,对阿富汗的建设项目构成了重大威胁。这些因素被发现具有高严重性和高频率,凸显了它们对项目成果的普遍影响。此外,该研究强调了延误因素的相互关联性,强调需要采取整体的项目管理方法,将安全考虑纳入更广泛的风险管理框架。利益相关者的观点在研究中起着核心作用,从客户、顾问、承包商和其他关键行为者那里收集到的见解,为建筑行业内各种不同的关注点提供了宝贵的认识。不同利益相关者群体在风险认知和优先事项上的差异,凸显了针对每个群体所面临的具体需求和挑战进行量身定制干预措施的重要性。基于这些见解,该研究为增强阿富汗项目恢复力和减轻与安全相关的延误影响提供了建议。建议包括制定和实施强有力的安全协议、积极的风险管理策略,以及改善与地方当局和安全部队的协调。此外,该研究还确定了进一步研究的途径,包括不同地区之间的比较分析以及跟踪项目成果随时间变化的纵向研究。通过加深我们对安全对建设项目延误影响的理解,本研究有助于制定以证据为基础的政策和做法,以促进受冲突影响地区及其他地区的可持续发展。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/692e/11341339/3ef5e1c8ddad/gr4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/692e/11341339/f6eeae78bed5/gr1.jpg
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https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/692e/11341339/4a2fa6315539/gr3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/692e/11341339/3ef5e1c8ddad/gr4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/692e/11341339/f6eeae78bed5/gr1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/692e/11341339/f7e1ea165a5e/gr2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/692e/11341339/4a2fa6315539/gr3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/692e/11341339/3ef5e1c8ddad/gr4.jpg

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