Programa de Pós-Graduação em Demografia, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte (UFRN). Av. Sen. Salgado Filho s/n, Lagoa Nova. 59078-970 Natal RN Brasil.
Instituto de Pesquisa René Rachou, Fiocruz Minas. Belo Horizonte MG Brasil.
Cien Saude Colet. 2024 Sep;29(9):e14892022. doi: 10.1590/1413-81232024299.14892022. Epub 2023 Aug 23.
This article aims to analyze temporal trends in female firearm homicides in the Northeast of Brazil during the period 2000-2019. We conducted an ecological study using data on firearm homicides of women aged 10 years and over obtained from the Mortality Information System. The population data were taken from the 2010 Census. Homicide rates were calculated after correcting the data to account for differences in the quality and coverage of death records. Trends were assessed using negative binomial regression and described using relative risk and p values. Average annual percentage changes in homicide rates were also calculated. The regional firearm homicide rate during the study period was 4.40 per 100,000 women. Rates were highest in the state of Alagoas (5.40), the 15-19 age group (5.84) and in public thoroughfares (1.58). Trends were upward across all states except Pernambuco, where they were downward, and Alagoas, where rates were stationary. The place of occurrence with the highest percentage increase in firearm homicides over the study period was public thoroughfares. Female firearm homicides showed an upward trend across most northeastern states.
本文旨在分析 2000-2019 年巴西东北部女性枪支凶杀案的时间趋势。我们使用从死亡率信息系统获得的 10 岁及以上女性枪支凶杀案数据进行了一项生态学研究。人口数据取自 2010 年普查。对数据进行了校正，以考虑到死亡记录质量和覆盖范围的差异，计算了凶杀率。使用负二项回归评估趋势，并使用相对风险和 p 值进行描述。还计算了凶杀率的平均年变化百分比。在研究期间，该地区的女性枪支凶杀率为每 10 万名女性 4.40 起。阿拉戈斯州（5.40）、15-19 岁年龄组（5.84）和公共通道（1.58）的比率最高。除伯南布哥州外，所有州的趋势均呈上升趋势，而伯南布哥州和阿拉戈斯州的趋势则保持稳定。枪支凶杀案发生率在研究期间上升幅度最大的发生地点是公共通道。在巴西东北部的大多数州，女性枪支凶杀案呈上升趋势。
