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预知幻象:用社会技术想象预测未来

Precog visions: Predicting the future with the sociotechnical imaginary.

作者信息

Glenhaber Mehitabel, Sridharan Hamsini

机构信息

Independent Researcher.

University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.

出版信息

Soc Stud Sci. 2025 Feb;55(1):37-61. doi: 10.1177/03063127241270991. Epub 2024 Aug 28.

DOI:10.1177/03063127241270991
PMID:39194149
Abstract

The 2002 film regularly appears in tech press articles asking whether it 'predicted the future'. When such publications invoke the film as having 'predicted the future' or 'come true', what social and political claims are being made? How has become a discursive tool for imagining, constructing, and criticizing sociotechnical worlds? In this paper, we evaluate the worldbuilding process and real-world trajectories of three technologies 'from' , as refracted through the lens of tech journalism: gestural interfaces, targeted advertising, and predictive policing. We argue that science fiction does more than represent technologies; it participates in their social construction. Some technologies imagined in operate as 'diegetic prototypes', and the journalistic witnessing public takes them up in complex ways, interpreting, misinterpreting, and remixing the technologies depicted in the film. We further argue that it is not only technologies that move between film and reality in this process, but entire sociotechnical imaginaries. We find that in tech beat interpretations of , the interfaces between bodies and technologies reflect a Silicon Valley sociotechnical imaginary of disembodied cyborg subjects and deracialized surveillance that materially and discursively shapes how technologies depicted in the film are developed and received.

摘要

2002年的这部电影经常出现在科技媒体文章中,这些文章会探讨它是否“预测了未来”。当这类出版物称这部电影“预测了未来”或“成为现实”时,它们提出了哪些社会和政治主张?它是如何成为一种用于想象、构建和批判社会技术世界的话语工具的?在本文中,我们通过科技新闻报道的视角,评估了“来自”该电影的三种技术的世界观构建过程和现实世界轨迹:手势界面、定向广告和预测性警务。我们认为,科幻作品不仅仅是对技术的呈现;它还参与了技术的社会建构。该电影中想象的一些技术充当了“叙事原型”,新闻报道中的公众以复杂的方式接受它们,对电影中描绘的技术进行解读、误读和重新混合。我们进一步认为,在此过程中,不仅技术在电影与现实之间流动,整个社会技术想象也在流动。我们发现,在科技新闻对该电影的解读中,身体与技术之间的界面反映了硅谷的一种社会技术想象,即无实体的半机械人主体和去种族化的监控,这种想象在物质和话语层面上塑造了电影中描绘的技术的发展和接受方式。

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