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2019 年国家人类发展水平与先天性出生缺陷发生率和死亡率的关联:来自 189 个国家的横断面研究。

Association of the national level of human development with the incidence and mortality of congenital birth defects in 2019: A cross-sectional study from 189 countries.

机构信息

Department of Neonatology, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China.

School of Artificial Intelligence, Sun Yat-sen University, Zhuhai, Guangdong, China.

出版信息

Biosci Trends. 2024 Sep 16;18(4):325-334. doi: 10.5582/bst.2024.01199. Epub 2024 Aug 27.

DOI:10.5582/bst.2024.01199
PMID:39198157
Abstract

Congenital birth defects (CBD) play a significant role in causing child mortality globally. The incidence and mortality of CBD vary widely across countries, and the underlying causes for this divergence remain incompletely comprehended. We conducted an analysis to investigate the relationship between the incidence and mortality of CBD in 189 countries and their Human Development Index (HDI). In this study, CBD data from 189 countries was used from the Global Burden of Diseases Study (GBD) 2019, and HDI data was collected for the same countries. Later, the relationship between CBD and HDI was analyzed, and the impact of gross national income (GNI) per capita, expected years of schooling, mean years of schooling and life expectancy at birth was quantified using principal component regression. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) varied between 66.57 to 202.24 per 100,000, with a 95% uncertainty interval (UI) of 57.20-77.51 and 165.87-241.48 respectively. The age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) also showed a rang from 1.38 to 26.53 (14.03-39.90) per 100,000, with the 95%UI of 0.91-2.09 and 14.03-39.90 respectively. Both the incidence and mortality rates of CBD decreased with the increased HDI (incidence: r = -0.38, p < 0.001, mortality: r = -0.77, p < 0.001). Our investigation revealed significant variations in the incidence and mortality of CBD among countries with different development levels. In conclusion, the global incidence and mortality of CBD vary significantly among countries, possibly due to differences in the accessibility of health services.

摘要

先天性出生缺陷(CBD)在全球儿童死亡中起着重要作用。 CBD 的发病率和死亡率在各国之间差异很大,其背后的原因尚不完全清楚。我们进行了一项分析,以调查 189 个国家的 CBD 发病率和死亡率与其人类发展指数(HDI)之间的关系。在这项研究中,使用了来自 189 个国家的全球疾病负担研究(GBD)2019 年的 CBD 数据,并收集了相同国家的 HDI 数据。 然后,分析了 CBD 与 HDI 之间的关系,并使用主成分回归量化了人均国民总收入(GNI)、预期受教育年限、平均受教育年限和出生时预期寿命对 CBD 的影响。年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)在 66.57 至 202.24 之间,95%置信区间(UI)为 57.20-77.51 和 165.87-241.48。年龄标准化死亡率(ASMR)也显示出从 1.38 到 26.53(14.03-39.90)之间的范围,95%UI 为 0.91-2.09 和 14.03-39.90。 CBD 的发病率和死亡率均随 HDI 的增加而降低(发病率:r = -0.38,p < 0.001,死亡率:r = -0.77,p < 0.001)。我们的调查显示,不同发展水平国家的 CBD 发病率和死亡率存在显著差异。总之, CBD 的全球发病率和死亡率在各国之间存在显著差异,这可能是由于卫生服务的可及性存在差异。

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