Institute of Hydrogeology and Environmental Geology, Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China.
Key Laboratory of Groundwater Remediation of Hebei Province & China Geological Survey, Zhengding, Hebei, China.
Water Environ Res. 2024 Sep;96(9):e11111. doi: 10.1002/wer.11111.
Due to the overexploitation of deep groundwater, the largest cone of depression in the world has formed in the North China Plain. This led to severe geological hazards, including land subsidence and ground fissures, and also caused economic losses. The prevention and treatment of subsidence needs to rely on the accurate prediction of subsidence amount. According to the one-dimensional consolidation theory and effective stress principle, combined with stratum structure, groundwater flow, stress distribution, and so forth, the high-pressure consolidation test results of 569.6 m deep borehole soil samples are adopted; with a specific focus on stress and deformation parameters under exploitation of groundwater condition, the soil-water coupling prediction model of groundwater level lowering depth and land subsidence has been established. Verification with measured subsidence data near the study sites demonstrated that the predicted curve is consistent with the measured one and the differences between them are acceptable. The model can be applied in different areas after making adjustment based on different regional stratigraphic structures. Its key advantage lies in the ability to provide land subsidence prediction for areas lacking monitoring data, making it highly valuable for widespread application. PRACTITIONER POINTS: There is a compressible stratum structure; it is the internal factors of land subsidence. The groundwater level decline causes the soil body stress to change. It is land subsidence of the external factors. Based on the one-dimensional consolidation theory and by combining stratigraphic structures, groundwater flow, and stress distribution, a ground settlement prediction model was established.
由于深层地下水的过度开采,世界上最大的降落漏斗已经形成于华北平原。这导致了严重的地质灾害,包括地面沉降和地裂缝,并造成了经济损失。沉降的防治需要依靠沉降量的准确预测。根据一维固结理论和有效应力原理,并结合地层结构、地下水流动、应力分布等因素,采用 569.6m 深钻孔土样的高压固结试验结果;特别关注在地下水开采条件下的应力和变形参数,建立了地下水位降深与地面沉降的土水耦合预测模型。利用研究区附近的实测沉降数据进行验证,表明预测曲线与实测曲线一致,差异在可接受范围内。该模型可以在不同的区域进行调整后应用,其关键优势在于能够为缺乏监测数据的区域提供沉降预测,具有广泛的应用价值。
存在可压缩地层结构,这是地面沉降的内在因素。地下水位下降导致土体应力发生变化,这是地面沉降的外在因素。基于一维固结理论,结合地层结构、地下水流动和应力分布,建立了一个地面沉降预测模型。