Almquist Zack W, Kahveci Ihsan, Hazel Mary Ashley, Kajfasz Owen, Rothfolk Janelle, Guilmette Claire, Anderson M C, Ozeryansky Larisa, Hagopian Amy
Departments of Sociology and Statistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, United States.
Department of Sociology, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, United States.
Am J Epidemiol. 2025 Jun 3;194(6):1524-1533. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwae342.
To enumerate people experiencing homelessness in the United States, the federal Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) mandates its designated local jurisdictions regularly conduct a crude census of this population. This Point-in-Time (PIT) body count, typically conducted on a January night by volunteers with flashlights and clipboards, is often followed by interviews with a separate convenience sample. Here, we propose employing a network-based (peer-referral) respondent-driven sampling (RDS) method to generate a representative sample of unsheltered people, accompanied by a novel method to generate a statistical estimate of the number of unsheltered people in the jurisdiction. First, we develop a power analysis for the sample size of our RDS survey to count unsheltered people experiencing homelessness. Then, we conducted 3 large-scale population-representative samples in King County, WA (Seattle metro) in 2022, 2023, and 2024. We describe the data collection and the application of our new method, comparing the 2020 PIT count (the last visual PIT count performed in King County) to the new method of 2022 and 2024 PIT counts. We conclude with a discussion and future directions. This article is part of a Special Collection on Methods in Social Epidemiology.
为了统计美国无家可归者的人数,联邦住房和城市发展部(HUD)要求其指定的地方司法管辖区定期对这一人群进行粗略普查。这种即时(PIT)点数统计通常在一月的一个夜晚由手持手电筒和写字板的志愿者进行,之后往往会对一个单独的便利样本进行访谈。在此,我们建议采用基于网络(同伴推荐)的应答驱动抽样(RDS)方法来生成无家可归者的代表性样本,并采用一种新方法对该司法管辖区内无家可归者的数量进行统计估计。首先,我们针对RDS调查的样本量进行了功效分析,以统计无家可归的无家可归者人数。然后,我们于2022年、2023年和2024年在华盛顿州金县(西雅图都会区)进行了3次大规模的具有人口代表性的抽样。我们描述了数据收集过程以及新方法的应用,并将2020年的PIT点数统计(金县最后一次进行的可视化PIT点数统计)与2022年和2024年PIT点数统计的新方法进行了比较。最后我们进行了讨论并提出了未来的方向。本文是社会流行病学方法专题文集的一部分。