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佛罗里达洋流输送观测揭示了四十年的稳定状态。

Florida Current transport observations reveal four decades of steady state.

作者信息

Volkov Denis L, Smith Ryan H, Garcia Rigoberto F, Smeed David A, Moat Ben I, Johns William E, Baringer Molly O

机构信息

Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA.

NOAA Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, Miami, FL, USA.

出版信息

Nat Commun. 2024 Sep 5;15(1):7780. doi: 10.1038/s41467-024-51879-5.

Abstract

The potential weakening of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) in response to anthropogenic forcing, suggested by climate models, is at the forefront of scientific debate. A key AMOC component, the Florida Current (FC), has been measured using submarine cables between Florida and the Bahamas at 27°N nearly continuously since 1982. A decrease in the FC strength could be indicative of the AMOC weakening. Here, we reassess motion-induced voltages measured on a submarine cable and reevaluate the overall trend in the inferred FC transport. We find that the cable record beginning in 2000 requires a correction for the secular change in the geomagnetic field. This correction removes a spurious trend in the record, revealing that the FC has remained remarkably stable. The recomputed AMOC estimates at ~26.5°N result in a significantly weaker negative trend than that which is apparent in the AMOC time series obtained with the uncorrected FC transports.

摘要

气候模型显示,大西洋经向翻转环流(AMOC)可能因人为强迫而减弱,这一问题处于科学辩论的前沿。自1982年以来,AMOC的一个关键组成部分——佛罗里达洋流(FC),已通过佛罗里达和巴哈马群岛之间27°N处的海底电缆几乎连续进行了测量。FC强度的降低可能表明AMOC正在减弱。在此,我们重新评估了在海底电缆上测量的运动感应电压,并重新评估了推断的FC输运的总体趋势。我们发现,始于2000年的电缆记录需要对地磁场的长期变化进行校正。这种校正消除了记录中的虚假趋势,表明FC一直保持着显著的稳定。在约26.5°N处重新计算的AMOC估计值导致的负趋势明显弱于使用未校正的FC输运得到的AMOC时间序列中明显的负趋势。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bc9c/11377814/eeb8735f9d2b/41467_2024_51879_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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