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开发和验证一种列线图模型以估计血液透析患者疲劳发生概率。

Development and validation of a nomogram to estimate fatigue probability in hemodialysis patients.

机构信息

School of Nursing, Hubei University of Medicine, Shiyan, Hubei, China.

Taihe Hospital, Hubei University of Medicine, Shiyan, Hubei, China.

出版信息

Ren Fail. 2024 Dec;46(2):2396460. doi: 10.1080/0886022X.2024.2396460. Epub 2024 Sep 5.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to investigate the factors that influence fatigue in hemodialysis (HD) patients and to develop and validate a nomogram to estimate the probability of fatigue in this population.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study collected 453 patients who underwent HD at the tertiary hospital in Hubei, China, from April to December 2023. They were randomly divided into a 70% training group ( = 316) and a 30% validation group ( = 137). In the training set, factors influencing fatigue were screened using multivariate logistic regression analysis, and a nomogram was developed to estimate fatigue probability in HD patients. The discrimination and calibration of the nomogram were validated in both the training and validation sets through the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) and the Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) test.

RESULTS

In the training group, logistic regression showed that age, dialysis vintage, inter-dialysis weight gain, hemoglobin, depression, insomnia, and social support were variables associated with fatigue in HD patients. Based on these factors, a nomogram for assessing fatigue probability in HD patients was developed. The AUC was 0.955 (95% CI: 0.932-0.977) and 0.979 (95% CI: 0.961-0.997) in the training and validation sets. The results from the H-L test indicated a good fit.

CONCLUSION

The nomogram can evaluate fatigue probability in HD patients and may serve as a convenient clinical tool.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在探讨影响血液透析(HD)患者疲劳的因素,并开发和验证一个列线图来估计该人群疲劳的概率。

方法

本横断面研究于 2023 年 4 月至 12 月在湖北一家三级医院收集了 453 名接受 HD 的患者。他们被随机分为 70%的训练组(n=316)和 30%的验证组(n=137)。在训练集中,使用多变量逻辑回归分析筛选影响疲劳的因素,并开发了一个列线图来估计 HD 患者的疲劳概率。通过接受者操作特征(ROC)曲线(AUC)下面积和 Hosmer-Lemeshow(H-L)检验在训练集和验证集中验证了列线图的判别和校准。

结果

在训练组中,逻辑回归显示年龄、透析龄、透析间体重增加、血红蛋白、抑郁、失眠和社会支持是与 HD 患者疲劳相关的变量。基于这些因素,开发了一个用于评估 HD 患者疲劳概率的列线图。AUC 在训练集和验证集中分别为 0.955(95%CI:0.932-0.977)和 0.979(95%CI:0.961-0.997)。H-L 检验结果表明拟合良好。

结论

该列线图可评估 HD 患者疲劳的概率,可作为一种方便的临床工具。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3df0/11382713/e54b31cc5d2e/IRNF_A_2396460_F0001_C.jpg

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