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关于理解诊断测试的有效性。

On understanding the validity of diagnostic tests.

作者信息

Bogduk Nikolai

机构信息

The University of Newcastle, Newcastle, Australia, PO Box 431, East Maitland, NSW, 2323, Australia.

出版信息

Interv Pain Med. 2022 Aug 15;1(Suppl 2):100127. doi: 10.1016/j.inpm.2022.100127. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

For clinical practice to be professionally responsible, any diagnostic tests used need to be valid because, if a test lacks validity the information that it provides is wrong. Of the several subtypes of validity, the crucial one is construct validity, which determines how well a diagnostic test discriminates simultaneously between the presence and the absence of the condition being diagnosed. Its key parameters are the sensitivity and specificity of the test, and its (positive) likelihood ratio. The likelihood ratio serves mathematically as a coefficient in an equation that measures the confidence one can have that a positive result of the test is true-positive, given the prevalence of the condition being diagnosed. There is no ideal value for likelihood ratios that make a diagnostic test worthwhile. The value required depends on how much confidence a physician needs to have in a diagnosis before undertaking treatment, which must be calculated using the likelihood ratio and prevalence of the condition being diagnosed.

摘要

为使临床实践具备专业责任感,所使用的任何诊断测试都必须有效,因为如果一项测试缺乏有效性,那么它所提供的信息就是错误的。在有效性的几种亚型中,关键的是结构效度,它决定了诊断测试在区分被诊断疾病的存在与不存在方面的能力有多强。其关键参数是测试的敏感性和特异性,以及(阳性)似然比。似然比在数学上作为一个系数,用于一个方程中,该方程衡量在已知被诊断疾病的患病率的情况下,人们对测试阳性结果为真阳性的置信程度。对于使诊断测试有价值而言,似然比没有理想值。所需的值取决于医生在进行治疗之前对诊断需要有多大的信心,这必须使用似然比和被诊断疾病的患病率来计算。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4e8f/11373066/eb4334d37c81/fx1.jpg

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