Cancellario Tommaso, Miranda Rafael, Baquero Enrique, Fontaneto Diego, Martínez Alejandro, Mammola Stefano
University of Navarra, Biodiversity and Environment Institute BIOMA, Irunlarrea 1, 31080, Pamplona, Spain.
Molecular Ecology Group (MEG), Water Research Institute (IRSA), National Research Council of Italy (CNR), Verbania, Italy.
NPJ Biodivers. 2022 Nov 17;1(1):1. doi: 10.1038/s44185-022-00001-3.
Climate change is rearranging the mosaic of biodiversity worldwide. These broad-scale species re-distributions affect the structure and composition of communities with a ripple effect on multiple biodiversity facets. Using European Odonata, we asked: i) how climate change will redefine taxonomic, phylogenetic, and functional diversity at European scales; ii) which traits will mediate species' response to global change; iii) whether this response will be phylogenetically conserved. Using stacked species distribution models, we forecast widespread latitudinal and altitudinal rearrangements in Odonata community composition determining broad turnovers in traits and evolutionary lineages. According to our phylogenetic regression models, only body size and flight period can be partly correlated with observed range shifts. In considering all primary facets of biodiversity, our results support the design of inclusive conservation strategies able to account for the diversity of species, the ecosystem services they provide, and the phylogenetic heritage they carry in a target ecosystem.
气候变化正在重新排列全球生物多样性的拼图。这些大规模的物种重新分布影响着群落的结构和组成,对生物多样性的多个方面产生连锁反应。以欧洲蜻蜓目昆虫为例,我们提出了以下问题:i)气候变化将如何在欧洲尺度上重新定义分类学、系统发育和功能多样性;ii)哪些特征将介导物种对全球变化的响应;iii)这种响应是否会在系统发育上得到保留。我们使用叠加物种分布模型,预测蜻蜓目群落组成中广泛的纬度和海拔重新排列,确定特征和进化谱系的广泛转变。根据我们的系统发育回归模型,只有体型和飞行期可以部分与观察到的分布范围变化相关。在考虑生物多样性的所有主要方面时,我们的结果支持设计包容性保护策略,以考虑目标生态系统中物种的多样性、它们提供的生态系统服务以及它们所承载的系统发育遗产。