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欧洲拥有最快的铁人三项赛赛道和最快的铁人三项年龄组运动员。

Europe has the fastest Ironman race courses and the fastest Ironman age group triathletes.

机构信息

Medbase St. Gallen Am Vadianplatz, Vadianstrasse 26, 9001, St. Gallen, Switzerland.

Institute of Primary Care, University Hospital Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2024 Sep 8;14(1):20903. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-71866-6.

Abstract

The majority of participants in Ironman triathlon races are age group athletes. We have extensive knowledge about recreational athletes' training and competition participation. Nonetheless, Ironman age group triathletes must achieve fast race times to qualify for the Ironman World Championship in Hawaii. They can, therefore, benefit from knowing where the fastest Ironman racecourses in the world are. The aim of the present study was to investigate where the fastest Ironman racecourses for age group triathletes are located in the world. Data from 677,702 Ironman age group finishers' records (544,963 from men and 132,739 from women) originating from 228 countries and participating in 444 events across 66 different Ironman race locations between 2002 and 2022 were analyzed. Data was analyzed through traditional descriptive statistics and with machine learning regression models. Four algorithms were tested (Random Forest Regressor, XG Boost Regressor, Cat Boot Regressor, and Decision Tree Regressor). The models used gender, age group, country of origin, environmental factors (average air and water temperatures), and the event location as independent variables to predict the final overall race time. Despite the majority of successful Ironman age group triathletes originating from the USA (274,553), followed by athletes from the United Kingdom (55,410) and Canada (38,264), these countries exhibited average overall race times that were significantly slower compared to the fastest countries. Most of the triathletes competed in Ironman Wisconsin (38,545), followed by Ironman Florida (38,157) and Ironman Lake Placid (34,341). The fastest overall race times were achieved in Ironman Copenhagen (11.68 ± 1.38 h), followed by Ironman Hawaii (11.72 ± 1.86 h), Ironman Barcelona (11.78 ± 1.43 h), Ironman Florianópolis (11.80 ± 1.52 h), Ironman Frankfurt (12.03 ± 1.38 h) and Ironman Kalmar (12.08 ± 1.47 h). The fastest athletes originated from Belgium (11.48 ± 1.47 h), followed by athletes from Denmark (11.59 ± 1.40 h), Switzerland (11.62 ± 1.49 h), Austria (11.68 ± 1.50), Finland (11.68 ± 1.40 h) and Germany (11.74 ± 15.1 h). Flat running and cycling courses were associated with faster overall race times. Three of the predictive models identified the 'country' and 'age group' variables as the most important predictors. Environmental characteristics showed the lowest influence regarding the other variables. The origin of the athlete was the most predictive variable whereas environmental characteristics showed the lowest influence. Flat cycling and flat running courses were associated with faster overall race times. The fastest overall race times were achieved mainly in European races such as Ironman Copenhagen, Ironman Hawaii, Ironman Barcelona, Ironman Florianópolis, Ironman Frankfurt and Ironman Kalmar. The fastest triathletes originated from European countries such as Belgium, Denmark, Switzerland, Austria, Finland, and Germany.

摘要

铁人三项年龄组运动员在 Ironman 铁人三项比赛中占大多数。我们对业余运动员的训练和比赛参与有广泛的了解。然而,Ironman 年龄组的铁人三项运动员必须达到快速的比赛时间才能有资格参加在夏威夷举行的 Ironman 世界锦标赛。因此,他们可以从了解世界上最快的 Ironman 赛道在哪里中受益。本研究的目的是调查世界上最快的 Ironman 赛道在哪里。从 2002 年至 2022 年,来自 228 个国家的 677702 名 Ironman 年龄组完赛者(544963 名男性和 132739 名女性)的记录中分析了数据,他们参加了 444 场不同的 Ironman 赛事,分布在 66 个不同的地点。通过传统的描述性统计和机器学习回归模型对数据进行了分析。测试了四种算法(随机森林回归器、XG 提升回归器、Cat Boot 回归器和决策树回归器)。模型使用性别、年龄组、原籍国、环境因素(平均空气和水温)以及赛事地点作为自变量,以预测最终的总比赛时间。尽管来自美国的成功的 Ironman 年龄组铁人三项运动员(274553 名)占大多数,其次是来自英国(55410 名)和加拿大(38264 名)的运动员,但这些国家的总比赛时间明显较慢,与最快的国家相比。大多数运动员参加了威斯康星铁人三项赛(38545 名),其次是佛罗里达铁人三项赛(38157 名)和莱克兰德普雷斯顿铁人三项赛(34341 名)。总比赛时间最快的是哥本哈根铁人三项赛(11.68±1.38 小时),其次是夏威夷铁人三项赛(11.72±1.86 小时)、巴塞罗那铁人三项赛(11.78±1.43 小时)、弗洛里安诺波利斯铁人三项赛(11.80±1.52 小时)、法兰克福铁人三项赛(12.03±1.38 小时)和卡尔马铁人三项赛(12.08±1.47 小时)。最快的运动员来自比利时(11.48±1.47 小时),其次是丹麦运动员(11.59±1.40 小时)、瑞士运动员(11.62±1.49 小时)、奥地利运动员(11.68±1.50 小时)、芬兰运动员(11.68±1.40 小时)和德国运动员(11.74±15.1 小时)。平坦的跑步和自行车赛道与更快的总比赛时间有关。三个预测模型确定了“国家”和“年龄组”变量是最重要的预测因素。环境特征显示,在其他变量方面,影响最小。运动员的原籍国是最具预测性的变量,而环境特征显示影响最小。平坦的自行车和跑步赛道与更快的总比赛时间有关。最快的总比赛时间主要在欧洲的比赛中取得,如哥本哈根铁人三项赛、夏威夷铁人三项赛、巴塞罗那铁人三项赛、弗洛里安诺波利斯铁人三项赛、法兰克福铁人三项赛和卡尔马铁人三项赛。最快的铁人三项运动员来自比利时、丹麦、瑞士、奥地利、芬兰和德国等欧洲国家。

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