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天津地区环境温度与非故意伤害经济负担的关联:病例交叉研究。

Association between ambient temperature and economic burden of unintentional injury in Tianjin: a case-crossover study.

机构信息

College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin, China.

School of Disaster and Emergency Medicine, Tianjin University, Tianjin, China.

出版信息

BMJ Open. 2024 Sep 13;14(9):e083891. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2024-083891.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Unintentional injuries constitute a significant global public health issue with significant social and economic costs. Previous evidence suggests ambient temperatures are associated with unintentional injury occurrences. However, the impacts of ambient temperature on unintentional injury economic burden have received little research attention. The objective of the study was to examine the association between ambient temperature and economic burden of unintentional injury.

DESIGN

Time-stratified case-crossover study.

SETTING

This study was performed at Tianjin Hospital, the largest trauma centre in Tianjin, by applying a hospital-based time-stratified case-crossover study.

PARTICIPANTS

The 12 241 patients admitted with unintentional injuries and meteorological data were collected in Tianjin, China in 2021.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME

The association between ambient temperature and unintentional injury hospitalisation was evaluated with a distributed lag non-linear model, further temperature-attributable economic burden of unintentional injuries was quantified, and adjusted for demographic characteristics, injury mechanism and injury location of injury.

RESULTS

The temperatures below 11.5°C were significantly associated with the increased risk of unintentional injury hospitalisation in Tianjin, in 2021. The effect was maximised on the current day. The relatively low temperature was responsible for 25.44% (95% CI 13.74, 33.09) of unintentional injury patients, and was associated with the number of unintentional injury patients (3114, 95% CI 1608, 4036). The relatively low temperature was associated with the excess economic burden for unintentional injury (¥197.52 million, 95% CI 102.00, 256.00; about 27.10 million dollars), accounting for 26.49% of the total economic burden. The cold temperatures generally had greater impacts on males (¥136.46 million, 95% CI 83.28, 172.42; about 18.67 million dollars) and the elderly (¥74.35 million, 95% CI 14.87, 102.14; about 10.24 million dollars).

CONCLUSION

The temperature was associated with approximately 3000 unintentional injury patients and ¥200 million (27 million dollars), accounting for 26% of the total economic burden in Tianjin, 2021.

摘要

目的

意外伤害是一个重大的全球公共卫生问题,造成了重大的社会和经济负担。先前的证据表明,环境温度与意外伤害的发生有关。然而,环境温度对意外伤害经济负担的影响却很少受到关注。本研究的目的是探讨环境温度与意外伤害经济负担之间的关系。

设计

时间分层病例交叉研究。

地点

本研究在天津市医院进行,该医院是天津市最大的创伤中心,采用医院为基础的时间分层病例交叉研究。

参与者

2021 年在中国天津市收集了 12241 名因意外伤害住院的患者和气象数据。

主要和次要结果

采用分布式滞后非线性模型评估环境温度与意外伤害住院的关系,进一步量化了意外伤害的归因于温度的经济负担,并调整了人口统计学特征、损伤机制和损伤部位。

结果

2021 年,天津气温低于 11.5°C 与意外伤害住院风险增加显著相关。这种影响在当天达到最大值。低温导致 25.44%(95%置信区间 13.74,33.09)的意外伤害患者,与意外伤害患者人数(3114 人,95%置信区间 1608 人,4036 人)有关。低温与意外伤害的超额经济负担有关(¥197.52 百万元,95%置信区间 102.00 百万元,256.00 百万元;约 2710 万美元),占总经济负担的 26.49%。低温对男性(¥136.46 百万元,95%置信区间 83.28 百万元,172.42 百万元;约 1867 万美元)和老年人(¥74.35 百万元,95%置信区间 14.87 百万元,102.14 百万元;约 1024 万美元)的影响更大。

结论

2021 年,天津约有 3000 名意外伤害患者和 2 亿元人民币(2700 万美元)与温度有关,占总经济负担的 26%。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b159/11404184/7ce55a92a5a7/bmjopen-14-9-g001.jpg

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