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运用支持向量机和神经网络模型来模拟中东地区的空气污染对健康的影响。

Modeling health outcomes of air pollution in the Middle East by using support vector machines and neural networks.

机构信息

The University of Lahore, Lahore, Pakistan.

Department of Statistics, COMSATS University Islamabad-Lahore Campus, Lahore, Pakistan.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2024 Sep 14;14(1):21517. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-71694-8.

Abstract

This study investigates the impact of air pollution on health outcomes in Middle Eastern countries, a region facing severe environmental challenges. As such, these are important in an effort to add up to policy-level as well as interventional changes that can be put in practice in the area of public health. Numeration analysis and association with health parameters was carried out by using Analytical tools such as, AIR Data, ARIMA,ANN, SVM and Exponential smoothing. Amongst the models, Support Vector Machine came again on top, with high accuracy yielding Mean Absolute Percentage Error of approximately 1%. Mortality of Air pollution in Qat from the case of Mortality of Air Pollution in Qatar is 959 while Auto regressive Integrated Moving average is 11.096, Exponential Smoothing 9.892 and Artificial Neural Networks are the source of inspiration for the development of this paper 4.61. The above perceptions indicate that there is need to adapt modeling strategies depending on the context and establish that it is possible to implement ML models in public health planning basket. This paper publishes the methodological frameworks for the purpose of modeling and analysis of the EHDs and serves as policy prescription for the policy makers to intending to reduce the effects of air borne pollution on health.

摘要

本研究调查了空气污染对中东国家健康结果的影响,该地区面临着严峻的环境挑战。因此,这些研究对于政策层面以及干预措施的改变都非常重要,这些改变可以在公共卫生领域付诸实践。通过使用 AIR Data、ARIMA、ANN、SVM 和指数平滑等分析工具进行数值分析和与健康参数的关联。在这些模型中,支持向量机再次名列前茅,其准确率高达约 1%的平均绝对百分比误差。卡塔尔的空气污染死亡率为 959,自回归积分移动平均为 11.096,指数平滑为 9.892,人工神经网络是本文的灵感来源 4.61。上述观点表明,有必要根据具体情况调整建模策略,并确定在公共卫生规划篮子中实施机器学习模型是可行的。本文公布了用于 EHD 建模和分析的方法框架,并为政策制定者提供了政策建议,旨在减少空气传播污染对健康的影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e384/11401858/5bad9b8b9882/41598_2024_71694_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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