School of Economics and Management, Shanghai University of Sport, Shanghai, 200438, China.
School of Leisure Sports and Tourism, Beijing Sport University, Beijing, 100084, China.
Int J Biometeorol. 2024 Dec;68(12):2627-2639. doi: 10.1007/s00484-024-02773-8. Epub 2024 Sep 17.
This study introduces an improved Ski Climate Index (SCI) designed to assess skiing suitability in China by applying fuzzy logic. Using daily meteorological data from 733 weather stations for the periods 1961-1990 and 1991-2020, the study identifies significant changes in SCI distribution over time. Additionally, a coupled analysis is performed, integrating the SCI results with the distribution and spatial vitality of 389 ski resorts in China. This analysis provides a comprehensive understanding of the interplay between actual ski resources and the ongoing evolution of the skiing industry in China and three significant results:1) The snow module has a major impact on SCI distribution, while other non-snow natural elements, such as sunshine duration, wind speed, and thermal comfort, influence the overall SCI assessment less; 2) High SCI values are concentrated in Northwestern and Northeastern China, with increased ski climate resources being observed in Shaanxi-Gansu-Ningxia, Southwest Tibet, and Sichuan due to climate change and noticeable declines in the Southern regions of Northeast China.; 3) In terms of the distribution and vitality of ski resorts, the SCI also partially reflects the development of ski resorts. This skiing suitability model uses climate resources to offer valuable insights for key decision-making in resort development and operation, thereby supporting advancement of the ice-snow economy.
本研究通过应用模糊逻辑,引入了一个改进的滑雪气候指数(SCI),旨在评估中国的滑雪适宜性。该研究利用 1961-1990 年和 1991-2020 年期间 733 个气象站的每日气象数据,确定了 SCI 分布随时间的显著变化。此外,还进行了耦合分析,将 SCI 结果与中国 389 个滑雪场的分布和空间活力相结合。该分析全面了解了实际滑雪资源与中国滑雪产业不断演变之间的相互作用,得出了三个重要结果:1)雪模块对 SCI 分布有重大影响,而其他非雪自然要素,如日照时间、风速和热舒适度,对整体 SCI 评估的影响较小;2)高 SCI 值集中在中国的西北和东北地区,由于气候变化,陕西-甘肃-宁夏、西南西藏和四川的滑雪气候资源增加,而中国东北地区南部的滑雪气候资源则明显减少;3)就滑雪场的分布和活力而言,SCI 也部分反映了滑雪场的发展。该滑雪适宜性模型利用气候资源,为滑雪场开发和运营的关键决策提供了有价值的见解,从而支持冰雪经济的发展。