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研究影响单车冲出道路事故严重程度的因素。

Investigating factors affecting injury severity of single-vehicle run-off-road crashes.

机构信息

Upper Great Plains Transportation Institute, North Dakota State University, Fargo, ND, United States.

Department of Transportation, Logistics and Finance, North Dakota State University, Fargo, ND, United States.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2024 Dec;208:107786. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2024.107786. Epub 2024 Sep 17.

Abstract

This study aimed to identify and investigate the contributing factors influencing injury severity in single-vehicle run-off-road (ROR) crashes, which are known for their high severity. The primary objective was to analyze and compare the impact of these factors across three distinct vehicle classes: passenger cars, sport utility vehicles (SUVs), and pickups. A mixed logit model with heterogeneity in mean and variance was developed to analyze the injury severity outcomes in ROR crashes for the three vehicle classes. The model accounted for the potential variations in the impact of contributing factors across different vehicle types. The study revealed several significant variables consistently influencing injury severity across all three vehicle classes. These included driver age, alcohol or drug usage, seatbelt utilization, airbag deployment, higher travel speeds, and the vehicle model year post-2010. Notably, as driver age increased, the impact on changes in injury severity outcomes was more pronounced for pickup drivers compared to those operating passenger cars and SUVs. Among the common findings was the highly effective role of seatbelt usage in mitigating injury severity in ROR crashes. Additionally, passenger cars were associated with increased injury severity, particularly at relatively higher travel speeds exceeding 75 mph when contrasted with SUVs and pickups traveling between 61 and 75 mph. The study highlights the importance of considering vehicle class-specific factors in analyzing injury severity in ROR crashes. Recommendations include further in-depth investigations into distinct factors contributing to injury severity within each vehicle class and utilizing more extensive crash datasets to gain additional insights for enhancing road safety.

摘要

本研究旨在识别和调查影响单辆驶离道路(ROR)碰撞中伤害严重程度的因素,这些碰撞以其严重程度高而闻名。主要目的是分析和比较这些因素对三种不同车辆类型(乘用车、运动型多用途车(SUV)和皮卡)的影响。开发了一个具有均值和方差异质性的混合对数模型,用于分析这三种车辆类型的 ROR 碰撞中的伤害严重程度结果。该模型考虑了不同车型对影响因素的潜在变化。研究揭示了几个对所有三种车辆类型的伤害严重程度都有显著影响的重要变量。这些变量包括驾驶员年龄、酒精或药物使用、安全带使用、安全气囊展开、更高的行驶速度以及 2010 年后的车辆型号年份。值得注意的是,随着驾驶员年龄的增加,对皮卡驾驶员的伤害严重程度变化的影响比乘用车和 SUV 驾驶员更为明显。常见的发现之一是安全带使用在减轻 ROR 碰撞中伤害严重程度方面非常有效。此外,与行驶速度在 61-75 英里/小时之间的 SUV 和皮卡相比,乘用车在相对较高的行驶速度超过 75 英里/小时时与增加的伤害严重程度相关。该研究强调了在分析 ROR 碰撞中伤害严重程度时考虑车辆类型特定因素的重要性。建议包括对每个车辆类型中导致伤害严重程度的特定因素进行进一步深入调查,并利用更广泛的碰撞数据集获得更多的见解,以提高道路安全水平。

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