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SIMAP500: A novel risk score to identify recipients at higher risk of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence following liver transplantation.

作者信息

Alnagar Amr, Zakeri Nekisa, Koilias Konstantinos, Faulkes Rosemary E, Brown Rachel, Cain Owen, Perera M Thamara P R, Roberts Keith J, Sanabria-Mateos Rebeca, Bartlett David C, Ma Yuk Ting, Sivakumar Shivan, Shetty Shishir, Shah Tahir, Dasari Bobby V M

机构信息

Department of HBP and Liver Transplantation Surgery, Queen Elizabeth Hospital, University Hospitals Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2GW, United Kingdom.

Centre for Liver Research, Institute of Biomedical Research, Birmingham B15 2TT, United Kingdom.

出版信息

World J Transplant. 2024 Sep 18;14(3):95849. doi: 10.5500/wjt.v14.i3.95849.


DOI:10.5500/wjt.v14.i3.95849
PMID:39295983
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11317860/
Abstract

BACKGROUND: Recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following liver transplantation (LT) has a devastating influence on recipients' survival; however, the risk of recurrence is not routinely stratified. Risk stratification is vital with a long LT waiting time, as that could influence the recurrence despite strict listing criteria. AIM: This study aims to identify predictors of recurrence and develop a novel risk prediction score to forecast HCC recurrence following LT. METHODS: A retrospective review of LT for HCC recipients at University Hospitals Birmingham between July 2011 and February 2020. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify recurrence predictors, based on which the novel SIMAP500 (satellite nodules, increase in size, microvascular invasion, AFP > 500, poor differentiation) risk score was proposed. RESULTS: 234 LTs for HCC were performed with a median follow-up of 5.3 years. Recurrence developed in 25 patients (10.7%). On univariate analyses, RETREAT score > 3, α-fetoprotein (AFP) at listing 100-500 and > 500, bridging, increased tumour size between imaging at the listing time and explant histology, increase in the size of viable tumour between listing and explant, presence of satellite nodules, micro- and macrovascular invasion on explant and poor differentiation of tumours were significantly associated with recurrence, based on which, the SIMAP500 risk score is proposed. The SIMAP500 demonstrated an excellent predictive ability (c-index = 0.803) and outperformed the RETREAT score (c-index = 0.73). SIMAP500 is indicative of the time to disease recurrence. CONCLUSION: SIMAP500 risk score identifies the LT recipients at risk of HCC recurrence. Risk stratification allows patient-centric post-transplant surveillance programs. Further validation of the score is recommended.

摘要
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fd15/11317860/610c42552f5b/95849-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fd15/11317860/27fc8bedd54e/95849-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fd15/11317860/610c42552f5b/95849-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fd15/11317860/27fc8bedd54e/95849-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/fd15/11317860/610c42552f5b/95849-g002.jpg

相似文献

[1]
SIMAP500: A novel risk score to identify recipients at higher risk of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence following liver transplantation.

World J Transplant. 2024-9-18

[2]
Validation of a Risk Estimation of Tumor Recurrence After Transplant (RETREAT) Score for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Recurrence After Liver Transplant.

JAMA Oncol. 2017-4-1

[3]
R3-AFP score is a new composite tool to refine prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after liver transplantation.

JHEP Rep. 2022-2-2

[4]
A novel prognostic nomogram accurately predicts hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after liver transplantation: analysis of 865 consecutive liver transplant recipients.

J Am Coll Surg. 2015-4

[5]
Development and validation of a REcurrent Liver cAncer Prediction ScorE (RELAPSE) following liver transplantation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: Analysis of the US Multicenter HCC Transplant Consortium.

Liver Transpl. 2023-7-1

[6]
Validation of the prognostic power of the RETREAT score for hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence using the UNOS database.

Am J Transplant. 2017-12-2

[7]
Homocysteine: A novel prognostic biomarker in liver transplantation for alpha-fetoprotein- negative hepatocellular carcinoma.

Cancer Biomark. 2020

[8]
Liver transplantation in cirrhotic patients with small hepatocellular carcinoma: an analysis of pre-operative imaging, explant histology and prognostic histologic indicators.

Dig Surg. 2004

[9]
Post-transplant inflammatory cytokine signature adds value for predicting tumor recurrence after liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma.

Hepatol Int. 2023-12

[10]
A novel waitlist dropout score for hepatocellular carcinoma - identifying a threshold that predicts worse post-transplant survival.

J Hepatol. 2021-4

引用本文的文献

[1]
Personalized translational medicine: Investigating YKL-40 as early biomarker for clinical risk stratification in hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence post-liver transplantation.

World J Transplant. 2025-6-18

[2]
Liver transplantation as a treatment for cancer: comprehensive review.

BJS Open. 2025-5-7

本文引用的文献

[1]
Risk of Recurrence of Hepatocarcinoma after Liver Transplantation: Performance of Recurrence Predictive Models in a Cohort of Transplant Patients.

J Clin Med. 2023-8-23

[2]
Development and validation of a REcurrent Liver cAncer Prediction ScorE (RELAPSE) following liver transplantation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: Analysis of the US Multicenter HCC Transplant Consortium.

Liver Transpl. 2023-7-1

[3]
Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Liver Transplantation: Risk Factors and Predictive Models.

Ann Transplant. 2022-1-26

[4]
Liver transplantation for HCC: validation of prognostic power of the RETREAT score for recurrence in a UK cohort.

HPB (Oxford). 2022-5

[5]
Predictors of patient and graft survival following pediatric liver transplantation: Long-term analysis of more than 300 cases from single centre.

Pediatr Transplant. 2022-2

[6]
Trends in indications and outcomes of liver transplantation in Canada: A multicenter retrospective study.

Transpl Int. 2021-8

[7]
A National Survey of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance Practices Following Liver Transplantation.

Transplant Direct. 2020-12-8

[8]
Adult liver transplantation: A UK clinical guideline - part 1: pre-operation.

Frontline Gastroenterol. 2020-2-25

[9]
Liver transplantation in hepatocellular carcinoma after tumour downstaging (XXL): a randomised, controlled, phase 2b/3 trial.

Lancet Oncol. 2020-7

[10]
Liver Transplantation Beyond Milan Criteria.

J Clin Transl Hepatol. 2020-3-28

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