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饮酒与虚弱风险:队列研究的剂量-反应荟萃分析。

Alcohol consumption and frailty risk: a dose-response meta-analysis of cohort studies.

机构信息

Yazd Cardiovascular Research Center, Noncommunicable Diseases Research Institute, Shahid Sadoughi University of Medical Sciences, Yazd, Iran.

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College, London, United Kingdom.

出版信息

Age Ageing. 2024 Sep 1;53(9). doi: 10.1093/ageing/afae199.

Abstract

BACKGROUND/AIMS: While previous studies suggest that light-to-moderate alcohol consumption may reduce the frailty risk, the dose-response relationship is still under question. To address the knowledge gap, we conducted a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of cohort studies to examine the association of alcohol consumption with the risk of both prefrailty and frailty in adults.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE (Ovid), PubMed and Scopus to identify relevant cohort studies published before 8 May 2024. The dose-response meta-analysis was performed to investigate the associations between alcohol drinking and the risk of developing pre-frailty and frailty. We used random-effects models to calculate pooled relative risks (RR) with 95% CIs.

RESULTS

We included nine cohort studies with 64 769 participants and 15 075 cases, of which eight studies were rated to have a serious risk of bias as assessed by the ROBINS tool. Based on our analysis, each 12 g increase in alcohol intake did not appear to be associated with risks of prefrailty (RR: 1.08, 95% CI 0.89, 1.31; I2 = 91%, n = 3; GRADE = very low) and frailty (RR: 0.94, 95% CI 0.88, 1.00; I2 = 63%, n = 9; GRADE = low). The nonlinear dose-response meta-analysis indicates a slight inverse association with frailty risk up to an alcohol intake of 20 grams per day, beyond which an upward trend is observed.

CONCLUSION

The inverse association found between moderate alcohol consumption and frailty risk appears to be stronger among older adults, which might be due to the lower and less popular alcohol consumption among older people than the general population. However, because this finding is based on low-quality evidence, more research is needed to develop specific dietary recommendations for alcohol consumption, particularly among young people.

摘要

背景/目的:尽管之前的研究表明,轻度至中度饮酒可能降低衰弱风险,但这种剂量反应关系仍存在争议。为了解决这一知识空白,我们进行了一项系统综述和队列研究的剂量反应荟萃分析,以研究饮酒与成年人衰弱前期和衰弱的风险之间的关联。

方法

我们检索了 MEDLINE(Ovid)、PubMed 和 Scopus,以确定截至 2024 年 5 月 8 日之前发表的相关队列研究。我们进行了剂量反应荟萃分析,以研究饮酒与发展为衰弱前期和衰弱的风险之间的关系。我们使用随机效应模型计算了合并的相对风险(RR)及其 95%置信区间(CI)。

结果

我们纳入了 9 项队列研究,共 64769 名参与者和 15075 例病例,其中 8 项研究被 ROBINS 工具评为存在严重偏倚风险。根据我们的分析,每次饮酒增加 12 克似乎与衰弱前期的风险无关(RR:1.08,95%CI 0.89,1.31;I2=91%,n=3;GRADE=极低)和衰弱(RR:0.94,95%CI 0.88,1.00;I2=63%,n=9;GRADE=低)。非线性剂量反应荟萃分析表明,每天饮酒 20 克以下,与衰弱风险呈轻微负相关,超过这个水平,风险呈上升趋势。

结论

在中等饮酒量与衰弱风险之间发现的负相关关系在老年人中似乎更强,这可能是由于老年人的饮酒量较低且不如一般人群普遍。然而,由于这一发现基于低质量证据,需要进行更多的研究来制定特定的酒精消费饮食建议,特别是在年轻人中。

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