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中国长江三角洲地区氨的长期时空变化及其驱动因素。

Long-term spatiotemporal variations of ammonia in the Yangtze River Delta region of China and its driving factors.

机构信息

School of Environmental Science and Optoelectronic Technology, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230026, China.

Key Lab of Environmental Optics & Technology, Anhui Institute of Optics and Fine Mechanics, Hefei Institutes of Physical Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hefei 230031, China.

出版信息

J Environ Sci (China). 2025 Apr;150:202-217. doi: 10.1016/j.jes.2024.02.021. Epub 2024 Mar 17.

Abstract

This study focuses on the spatiotemporal distribution, urban-rural variations, and driving factors of ammonia Vertical Column Densities (VCDs) in China's Yangtze River Delta region (YRD) from 2008 to 2020. Utilizing data from the Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI), Generalized Additive Models (GAM), and the GEOS-Chem chemical transport model, we observed a significant increase of NH VCDs in the YRD between 2014 and 2020. The spatial distribution analysis revealed higher NH concentrations in the northern part of the YRD region, primarily due to lower precipitation, alkaline soil, and intensive agricultural activities. NH VCDs in the YRD region increased significantly (65.18%) from 2008 to 2020. The highest growth rate occurs in the summer, with an annual average growth rate of 7.2% during the period from 2014 to 2020. Agricultural emissions dominated NH VCDs during spring and summer, with high concentrations primarily located in the agricultural areas adjacent to densely populated urban zones. Regions within several large urban areas have been discovered to exhibit relatively stable variations in NH VCDs. The rise in NH VCDs within the YRD region was primarily driven by the reduction of acidic gases like SO, as emphasized by GAM modeling and sensitivity tests using the GEOS-Chem model. The concentration changes of acidic gases contribute to over 80% of the interannual variations in NH VCDs. This emphasizes the crucial role of environmental policies targeting the reduction of these acidic gases. Effective emission control is urgent to mitigate environmental hazards and secondary particulate matter, especially in the northern YRD.

摘要

本研究聚焦于 2008 年至 2020 年中国长江三角洲(YRD)地区氨垂直柱密度(VCD)的时空分布、城乡差异和驱动因素。利用红外大气探测干涉仪(IASI)、广义加性模型(GAM)和 GEOS-Chem 化学输送模型的数据,我们观察到 2014 年至 2020 年期间 YRD 地区 NH VCD 显著增加。空间分布分析表明,YRD 地区北部的 NH 浓度较高,主要是由于降水较少、碱性土壤和密集的农业活动。2008 年至 2020 年,YRD 地区的 NH VCD 显著增加(65.18%)。增长率最高的是夏季,2014 年至 2020 年期间年平均增长率为 7.2%。农业排放在春夏季主导 NH VCDs,高浓度主要位于人口稠密城市区附近的农业区。发现几个大城市区域内的 NH VCDs 变化相对稳定。GAM 模型和使用 GEOS-Chem 模型进行的敏感性测试强调,SO 等酸性气体的减少是导致 YRD 地区 NH VCDs 上升的主要原因。酸性气体浓度变化对 NH VCDs 年际变化的贡献超过 80%。这强调了针对这些酸性气体减排的环境政策的关键作用。有效控制排放对于减轻环境危害和二次颗粒物,特别是在北部 YRD 地区至关重要。

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