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中国2007 - 2022年因暴露于细颗粒物导致的缺血性心脏病过早死亡的时空模式及公平性分析

Spatiotemporal Patterns and Equity Analysis of Premature Mortality Due to Ischemic Heart Disease Attributable to PM Exposure in China: 2007-2022.

作者信息

Zhong Yanling, Guo Yong, Liu Dingming, Zhang Qiutong, Wang Lizheng

机构信息

School of Geological Engineering and Geomatics, Chang'an University, Xi'an 710054, China.

Department of Criminal Technology, Sichuan Police College, Luzhou 646000, China.

出版信息

Toxics. 2024 Aug 31;12(9):641. doi: 10.3390/toxics12090641.

Abstract

Long-term exposure to PM pollution increases the risk of cardiovascular diseases, particularly ischemic heart disease (IHD). Current assessments of the health effects related to PM exposure are limited by sparse ground monitoring stations and applicable disease research cohorts, making accurate health effect evaluations challenging. Using satellite-observed aerosol optical depth (AOD) data and the XGBoost-PM25 model, we obtained 1 km scale PM exposure levels across China. We quantified the premature mortality caused by PM-exposure-induced IHD using the Global Exposure Mortality Model (GEMM) and baseline mortality data. Furthermore, we employed the Gini coefficient, a measure from economics to quantify inequality, to evaluate the distribution differences in health impacts due to PM exposure under varying socioeconomic conditions. The results indicate that PM concentrations in China are higher in the central and eastern regions. From 2007 to 2022, the national overall level showed a decreasing trend, dropping from 47.41 μg/m to 25.16 μg/m. The number of premature deaths attributable to PM exposure increased from 819 thousand in 2007 to 870 thousand in 2022, with fluctuations in certain regions. This increase is linked to population growth and aging because PM levels have decreased. The results also indicate disparities in premature mortality from IHD among different economic groups in China from 2007 to 2022, with middle-income groups having a higher cumulative proportion of IHD-related premature deaths compared with high- and low-income groups. Despite narrowing GDP gaps across regions from 2007 to 2022, IHD consistently "favored" the middle-income groups. The highest Gini coefficient was observed in the Northwest (0.035), and the lowest was in the South (0.019). Targeted policy interventions are essential to establish a more equitable atmospheric environment.

摘要

长期暴露于细颗粒物污染会增加患心血管疾病的风险,尤其是缺血性心脏病(IHD)。目前对与细颗粒物暴露相关的健康影响的评估受到地面监测站稀少和适用疾病研究队列的限制,使得准确的健康影响评估具有挑战性。利用卫星观测的气溶胶光学厚度(AOD)数据和XGBoost-PM25模型,我们获得了中国1公里尺度的细颗粒物暴露水平。我们使用全球暴露死亡率模型(GEMM)和基线死亡率数据,量化了由细颗粒物暴露诱发的缺血性心脏病导致的过早死亡。此外,我们采用基尼系数(一种来自经济学的衡量不平等的指标)来评估不同社会经济条件下细颗粒物暴露对健康影响的分布差异。结果表明,中国中部和东部地区的细颗粒物浓度较高。从2007年到2022年,全国总体水平呈下降趋势,从47.41微克/立方米降至25.16微克/立方米。归因于细颗粒物暴露的过早死亡人数从2007年的81.9万增加到2022年的87.0万,某些地区有波动。这种增加与人口增长和老龄化有关,因为细颗粒物水平已经下降。结果还表明,2007年至2022年中国不同经济群体中缺血性心脏病过早死亡率存在差异,与高收入和低收入群体相比,中等收入群体缺血性心脏病相关过早死亡的累计比例更高。尽管2007年至2022年各地区国内生产总值差距在缩小,但缺血性心脏病一直“青睐”中等收入群体。基尼系数在西北部最高(0.035),在南部最低(0.019)。有针对性的政策干预对于建立更公平的大气环境至关重要。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/2b63/11435765/cbba65df6b16/toxics-12-00641-g001.jpg

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