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基于灵活大猩猩部队算法和神经网络优化的支持向量回归/长短期记忆网络优化电力负荷预测:案例研究

Optimizing electric load forecasting with support vector regression/LSTM optimized by flexible Gorilla troops algorithm and neural networks a case study.

作者信息

Zhang Zhirong, Zhang Qiqi, Liang Haitao, Gorbani Bizhan

机构信息

Medical Imaging Department, Shanxi Provincial General Hospital of the Chinese People's Armed Police Force, Taiyuan, 030006, Shanxi, China.

Computing Center, Shanghai Publishing and Printing College, Shanghai, 200093, China.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2024 Sep 27;14(1):22092. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-73893-9.

DOI:10.1038/s41598-024-73893-9
PMID:39333276
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11436889/
Abstract

This research work focuses on addressing the challenges of electric load forecasting through the combination of Support Vector Regression and Long Short-Term Memory (SVR/LSTM) methodology. The model has been modified by a flexible version of the Gorilla Troops optimization algorithm. The objective of this study is to enhance the precision and effectiveness of load forecasting models by integrating the adaptive functionalities of the Gorilla Troops algorithm within the SVR/LSTM framework. To assess the efficacy of the proposed methodology, a comprehensive series of experiments and evaluations have been undertaken, utilizing authentic data obtained from 200 residential properties located in Texas, United States of America. The dataset comprises historical records of electricity consumption, meteorological data, and other pertinent variables that exert an impact on energy demand. The presence of this general dataset enhances the dependability and inclusiveness of the empirical findings. The proposed methodology was evaluated against various contemporary load forecasting techniques that are widely employed in the industry. The results of a comprehensive evaluation and performance analysis indicate that the modified SVR/LSTM model exhibits superior performance compared to the existing methods in terms of accuracy and robustness. The comparison results unequivocally demonstrate the superiority of the proposed method in accurately forecasting electric load demand.

摘要

这项研究工作聚焦于通过支持向量回归与长短期记忆(SVR/LSTM)方法相结合来应对电力负荷预测的挑战。该模型已通过灵活版的大猩猩部队优化算法进行了改进。本研究的目的是通过将大猩猩部队算法的自适应功能集成到SVR/LSTM框架内,提高负荷预测模型的精度和有效性。为评估所提出方法的有效性,利用从美国得克萨斯州200处住宅物业获取的真实数据进行了一系列全面的实验和评估。该数据集包括电力消耗的历史记录、气象数据以及其他对能源需求有影响的相关变量。这个通用数据集的存在增强了实证结果的可靠性和包容性。所提出的方法与行业中广泛使用的各种当代负荷预测技术进行了对比评估。全面评估和性能分析的结果表明,改进后的SVR/LSTM模型在准确性和稳健性方面比现有方法表现更优。对比结果明确证明了所提方法在准确预测电力负荷需求方面的优越性。

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